When to Buy Stocks -- Demand Value | Don't Follow the Crowd

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/urbanomics-pillars-path-set-for.html
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2013/02/personal-finance-budget-101-free-credit.html
	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2019/11/hey-henry-high-earner-not-yet-rich.html
How to Open My First Brokerage Account	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/personal-finance-101-starting.html
Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments) HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:	Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:

Coming soon is a post on Health -- The Body. You have to invest and know the data about your body. Like many people of color, I get nervous about hospitals and doctors. Thanks to my corporate job, I was exposed to annual exams and blood tests. Unfortunately, when I made the shift to being an entrepreneur I didn't keep up with my annual exams. And it may be costing me...stay tuned for a future post on Health and how that impacts your Wealth. 

Also Coming Soon - a series on #HowtoInvest. People have been reaching especially after the spikes in Gamestop, AMC, and other stock to learn the basics. I self taught myself how to invest beginning at the age of roughly 18 and have never stopped. To be a good investor and ensure you are not gambling (speculating), I'll cover (hardest parts of investing in RED):

Budgeting 101 - How to Fund Ur Investments?

Why Stocks as an Investment?

What is Ur Investment Profile + Personality?

How to Pick Stocks?

When to Buy Stocks?

How to Enter My Trade?

How Many Stocks Should I Own?

When to Sell Stocks?

Am I Speculating (Gambling)?

When to Buy A Stock

Enough talking -- pictures and videos are worth a thousand words, so I plan to move into the digital age here soon. I'm an old soul in a millennial body with a 9-5 job and a side hustle empowering underrepresented groups to find employment in the technology field (and it's cash flowing almost better than my 9-5 job!). Oh by the way, I own real estate (with tenants) and trying to grow that portfolio. So be patient as I plan to do a video series that will help you invest in yourself and #getthebag. My best asset class is my stock portfolio and yes, it allowed me to semi-retire at 37. I've documented how I've done it here on my blog (mistakes and all) for the last 15+ years. Don't believe people that say it's easy --- Trust But Verify. If they are NOT teaching you how to do it yourself --- Then You Are The Product. #facts

Leading up to my video series, which you've been asking for, here is an example of how I hunt for stocks. Sometimes I rely on my network of friends in my #MansaMusa network. They've helped me build my mini empire and I appreciate all of them as they've support me in different ways. When I got started I had a few #whentobuy rules. Last week, I shared Rule #2 - Follow Da Leader | Whale Watch | Griot Rule. Warren Buffett was great to read about, learn from, and occasionally follow but he is one smart brotha...he often requests and usually get approved the right to withhold some of his biggest trades. Why? So he can slowly build a large position and limit Griot watchers like me from following him. There are federal rules which require Warren to disclose his trades and he doesn't want his stock investments to skyrocket right away (from copycats) before he's built his large stake. I may not be a Griot yet, but like my father I'm a like to preach and teach. So I can't give everything away...I know my worth but I USUALLY try to make investments that align with my goals, risk tolerance, and personality. Two hints at what I mean and then I get to a few stocks on my subscriber list and one reveal.

Wanting Value:

  Hint 1: For years, I've written about the fact that I won't by a candy bar if I can't get it for 50c. For the longest time, that's what a Reese's or Snickers cost growing up. Yes, I believe in inflation but if you don't sell it to me for 50c or a Kings size bar for $1.00...you're not getting my money. Life is full of transactions and negotiations...I choose when I want to participate. 

A Difference of Opinion:

Hint 2: I personally like to go against the grain and as many have said...I like to walk my own path and don't follow the crowd too often. So if I see a stock getting dissed (Ex: Search for my Tesla or Lululemon trades and read my Elon Musk / Kanye West posts from years before), I tend to want to know more about the situation than just go with the crowd. Group think is very dangerous and is a primary reason why racism and oppression is what it is. Human nature is to seek the protection and worthiness from a group or gang...but it can lead to perverse outcomes - like when gangs have no rules and kids get killed, or when people with authority protect the bad apples in their group, or when people claim to have faith in something higher but the angry mob can lynch (skin color) or rape (young woman) because society or the current cultural climate doesn't communicate to them what they are doing is wrong. And then I hear the narrative, don't try and cancel those things people did back because it was a different time. I have one one --- Do Unto Others as You Would Have Them Do Unto You. I don't think in life you can ever "overlook" lynching, hate, rape, bullying ...because everyone was doing it. So When I invest...if most are doing it...I run the other way. Need one last example, we all celebrate Dr. Martin Luther King Jr and his approach to non-violence today. But in the 1960s, the FBI had him high on the list of public enemy #1s. How do you square that away...in my book non-violence teaching does not = terrorist (or communist for that matter) but they spent years watching and taping his every moves. So I take the same approach to stocks, if everyone jumps off the bandwagon I BUY:

- Elon Musk is an idiot for $420 tweet -- nice try, I invest in a genius and Tesla

- Kanye West is mentally crazy -- He's not the president, my mentor, impactful to my daily life...but IMO he seems to be savvy at music and business...oh by the way he's now worth over 5-6 Billion after a well executed clothing partnership with Gap. I don't have to agree with him to know he's going to appreciate in value: 

URBANOMICS: TESLA - MY BEAUTIFUL DARK TWISTED INVESTMENT

- Lulemon is finished after the then idiot CEO made harsh comments about plus-sized women and leggings -- He's a bum get rid of him and people still will buy ridiculously price leggings, yoga pants and clearly Yeezy's. 

URBANOMICS: Value Investing - Look4Leaders / FollowUrGut

#GettheBag - Premium Subscriber Alerts

Here are a few stocks from this Quarter's Subscriber List Premium Alerts:

• I***** - Beaten down technology company, that may get back up after being knocked back down
• M**** - With everyone jumping on the hot new thing...the old reliable has been thrown away. It may to soon to ask an old star to retire when the team isn't ready for a transition
• A**** - This company stumbled and decided not to IPO. But the SPAC route seemed like an ideal fit. No one's paying attention but the re-opening trade could have us running around like Mad Men
• F**** - Good ole fashion insurance was left out in the cold, but whoa interest rates are rising and everyone is jumping on banks, insurance and other interest rate sensitive stocks. 

Reveal - ViacomCBS (VIAC)

• V**** - Television and Advertising has been left for dead as streaming is the future. A quote taken from Barron's: "An analyst wrote that the recent run-up “doesn’t fully discount risks” from pressure on V****’s own legacy cable-network business, nor the risks to content-licensing revenue from the crumbling of conventional cable channels."

Haters gonna hate. Our Reveal is we own ViacomCBS (VIAC), recently the best performing stock in the S&P 500. Stay tuned for a "Details" writeup...but wondering when did I blog about ViacomCBS, Sept 2020:

URBANOMICS: How Being Risk Focused Allows Me to Play Defense + Offense

If you want to follow the crowd, by all means go ahead. However, I'd rather walk my own path. Reach out if you want to subscribe and monitor the trades I'm making in my portfolio. 

Also, guess the stock and I'll reveal if you're right.

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (AMC) - Detail on a 200% Move in 24 Hours

#MansaMusaMentality

#BreakfastClubforStocks - get your Sherlock Holmes on with news, reports, and data for stock investments ideas

This post is a part of my #MansaMusaMentality series and how I invest. Almost like case studies (known as "Details"), I'll highlight how I invest in assets such as real estate, stocks, precious metals, cryptocurrencies, etc. And I want to foster a community culture, so I'll show you how I learn from them and maybe in the future we can crowdsource or here we call it #tribesource investment ideas for the future.

"Detail" - A Breakdown of my AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (AMC) Investment

Year(s): 2019 + 2021

Throwback Link(s): 

March 2019: 2019 Investment In AMC

Jan 2020: https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2020/01/2020-kick-off-reflect-but-expect.html

July 2020: https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2020/07/is-stock-market-weak-or-should-you-be.html

September 2020: https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2020/09/how-being-risk-focused-allows-me-to.html

This "Detail" is about how I found this investment. Quite simply, I kept my ears to da streets. My life is not dedicated to stocks because it's not my main hustle but I do my research, use my network of connections, and make smart informed decisions. Because I've amassed a nice investment empire, not the size of Mansa Musa, I'll be damned if I leave it to someone to manage and eat all my profits. I (AND YOU) can manage your money yourself. Just like how I listen to the Breakfast Club for the culture, I listen, read, and aggregate data for that stock culture. Again, if I have time for the Breakfast Club morning show with Charlamagne tha God... I can also make time for my stock version of the Breakfast Club.  What's your excuse??

I won't be putting this stock in my #MansaHallofFame because at the end of the year I strategically sold off most of my shares to offset the fact I had such a 2020. This tax season would have been painful if I didn't use the losses I had in AMC to make it seem like I didn't have a big year (this is called Tax-Loss Harvesting, yes its legal, should out to my accountants). Ironically, if I hadn't done the prudent thing and sold off that position this would have made my #MansaHallofFame list of investments.

So how did I find this stock? I got my Sherlock Holmes on and did my own research. I keep a log of my research and ideas so don't test me. 

How do I get my Sherlock Holmes on? Depending on your age you might prefer: X-Files, Murder She Wrote, Columbo :)   Here's what I found:

Stock Investment Idea: AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (AMC)

Investment Takeaways: Notice in 2019, before the pandemic, I found a nice investment giving out a great dividend (a dividend is like getting a stimulus check every 3 months just for owning the stock) I was getting 4 checks a year from AMC just for owning the stock. With blockbuster Marvel movies coming out every week, this is something I traded based on what I saw around me. I knew there was a growing risk as streaming was getting bigger but I wasn't a heavy Netflix user at the time and Roku was still not a household name, IMO. A quick note, this was my own personal research, #BreakfastClubforStocks. You have all the links of what I was thinking back in 2019 and since then. Yes, you are smart enough to invest in things you use everyday...chances are others use those products and they may make great investments.

Outcome: 

I'm not going to get to technical but you read above that I sold off my AMC position at the end of 2020 which actually helps me reduce my taxes (advanced class moment). So the IRS in their tax code requires that I wait 30 days before I can start buying the stock again (Tax Loss Harvesting). Rules are rules and we follow them. 

But I was getting antsy and looking forward to rebuilding my AMC position. Why - because of 2 things:

1) Can't Nobody Tell Me Nothing Syndrome - I had a friend that told me even while my state was in "lockdown", their spouse was itching to get out and watch a movie in the theatre . I can't recall if they went (I think they did) but this reminded me not everyone views the pandemic the way I do. Many want to get out watch movies, eat at restaurants, and fly on planes -- even with the threat of the virus around. So what will happen once we can finally get vaccines in arms --- people are going to go crazy and forget they have homes for a few days.

2) CEO Goes on National TV - The biggest indicator it was time to establish a position in AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc (AMC) was when Adam Aron the CEO of AMC went on national TV. He said the company just received enough $$$ that takes the risk of bankruptcy off the table. This is a game changer combined with the fact that in Point #1, people will want to eventually get out of the damn house and just do something. Unfortunately, I was 5 days away from being able to purchase this stock in my primary portfolio. So my only other option was to use my retirement account. I added AMC after that pivotal interview and the rest is...how do you say, history. 

For the Culture:

AMC Stock Chart on 1/28/21:

I'm a fan of getting your investment out and taking some profits. Then letting the rest ride...its the best of both worlds. Just don't get greedy. 

Mansa Musa Mentality - Building Your Investment Empire

This year I wanted to get back to the basics as I continue on my journey of independently building my investment empire. Back in college, I recall managers coming in from the Toyota car company and telling us how they came up with the concept for the brand, Lexus. Quite simply, they decided to take the best ideas from all the top car companies. I remember it like it was yesterday: German (engineering), Japanese (manufacturing + quality), American (design) produces luxury at a more affordable price. That stuck with me in a major way and I incorporated that into my life.

Mamba Mentality - For the things, I dedicate my life to I try to have a work ethic like Kobe Bryant or Michael Jordan, that Mamba Mentality that I am here to compete and win. I would argue I've received awards and recognition in athletics, academics, and for my execution in the corporate world. Feel free to ask anyone, I've worked with - they will say I'm tough, very competitive, but fair.

Lexus Mentality - For things that I am passionate about but cannot dedicate myself to that craft, I do spend a considerable amount of time learning about that subject but I also borrow or have on speed dial people that know more than me on those topics.

This duality helps me grow my empire which gets stronger as I build my "Network" of friends, colleagues, subject matter experts, confidants, and even detractors. These are people I can call, email, or text at the drop of a dime to help me make an informed decision. The area I'm most proud of is my network extends to virtual experts and confidants that I've catalogued over time. People I've come to trust after listening, reading, or researching their work. Here are a few:

Real Estate (Diana Olick, Sam Zell*, Jonathan Gray*); 

Economics (Mark Zandi, Jason Furman, Fed Governors); 

Healthcare (Dr. Scott Gottlieb);

Technology / Stock Investments (Kara Swisher, John Fortt) (Katie Stockton, Larry Fink*, Mohamed El-Erian, Bill Miller);  African-American Investors (Jay Z*, John Rogers of Ariel Funds, Robert F. Smith* of Vista Capital, Daymond John, Rick Ross, LeBron James, Dr. Dre, Junior Bridgeman, Shaq O'Neal); 

#A-Billi Squad: Warren Buffett*, Chamath Palihapitiya*, Seth Klarman*, Paul Singer*, Bill Ackman*, Carl Icahn*, Mario Gabelli*, Tilman Fertitti*, David Tepper*, Dan Loeb*, David Einhorn*, Ron Baron*, John Paulson*,

*represents my billionaire buddies

Funny thing is this was off the dome (in my head) and most listed here helped shape my thinking or we've made money together. When I combine all these concepts or mentalities into one you get the Mansa Musa Mentality. Arguably the richest person in history, Mansa Musa, ruled over a large empire and put cities like Timbuktu on the map as they were known for their cities and libraries.

In my upcoming posts, I'll be writing about #MansaMusaMentality and how I use my extended network to invest. Almost like case studies, I'll highlight how these contacts guide me on investments such as buying real estate, stocks, precious metals, cryptocurrencies, etc. And I want to foster a community culture, so I'll show you how I learn from them and maybe in the future we can crowdsource or here we call it #tribesource investment ideas for the future.

"Detail" - A Breakdown of my Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) Investment

Year: 2007

Throwback Link: 2007 BNI Investment

I first wrote about BNI on August 15, 2007. This stock makes the #MansaHallofFame because I used my network, in particular Warren Buffett, to find this investment. Warren (part of #ABilliSquad) began making large purchases of the railroad company. I did some research on the company, the products they haul, and whether the stock was selling at a discount to it's long-term value. But it was my long-term relationship with Warren that helped me cement my decision. I knew that he often liked to own companies in entirety. So when he bought more, I repeatedly purchased this stock in large blocks. Don't believe me, click the link - in 2007 I called it my Juvenile "Back That Thang Up" trade. It's not uncommon that investors rally around similar stocks or ideas, so on occasions I join them: #HuntinPacks

Outcome: 

Ironically, because I have a 9-5 job I have never paid to much attention to the comments section. Well 13+ years later, I found this comment on the link I provided in above. The reader complimented my depth of knowledge and inquired whether I thought Warren would takeover OR buy the entire company. As mentioned above, I have researched and studied so many books on Mr. Buffett that I did in fact believe he would eventually buy the company out and I'm disappointed I never had a chance to share that with the reader. But he got his answer just two years after that post:

Warren Buffett made biggest purchase of career; buys Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp for $26.3 Billion; Warren's company Berkshire agreed to purchase the railroad for $100 a share

Excerpts from Wall Street Journal (Nov. 4, 2009)

And I made roughly $20-25 for every share I owned:

Block Purchases:

08/15/2007  09:41:05 Bought *** BNI @ 79

08/16/2007  12:08:56 Bought *** BNI @ 76

01/22/2008  08:00:13 Bought *** BNI @ 75.61

Sale (due to Berkshire buying my shares):

02/17/2010  15:40:03 Sold *** BNI @ 100

Guess How I Found Out: 

A reader texted me at work and said "I bet you are having a great day". I responded, what in the world are you talking about...and he shared the great news. And this is not just any reader, this is an amazing friend and my mortgage broker, who I've kept in my network and stayed in touch with since my college days. I've purchased and refinanced all of my properties with him and consider him a confidant. Long Live The Empire

#MansaMusaHOF   - designates this stock pick was retired in my Hall of Fame

#ABilliSquad -  Billionaire investors from the Wall Street community that make up my squad. Ya Dig

#HuntinPacks - designates investments I made alongside someone in my network

#MansaMusaMentality

Kujichagulia | Self-Determination - Own Your Destiny

 On the second day of Kwanzaa, I wanted to chat about Kujichagulia (self-determination). With so many obstacles affecting middle and lower class America, no matter your race you must be personally accountable every day for your actions. These actions each and every day are shaping the path you are and will take in life. I train people and coach them on how to improve their financial and personal well-being and often the common responses I get are:

"If you can do that for me"

"If you think this will work for me"

"So what do you think"

"I don't like all the changes/instructions/direction"

I remind those persons each and every day you choose your own path. I can't do anything for you (you can). I can provide my experiences and journey but you must tell me what works for your life. It doesn't matter what I think, it's your life to live. If you don't like what you see --- why did you choose it? And if you didn't choose anything yet, why do you feel compelled someone has made a decision for you...when they haven't. Do you feel the personal responsibility of having to decide, being accountable for the decision you made, and being on the hook for seeing it through.

For me, when I was 18, I looked back and had already seen a life of systemic oppression. In kindergarten, I was told I'd be yanked out of my public school path and put into a magnet school because of my then smarts. Yes a blessing, but a new path that meant two different buses to school each day and classes where most people did not look like me. I remember my 12th Grade teacher give me a surprising look when I told her I needed my National Honor Society document signed by her. I remember every white person in college, at work, and in my personal life asking me and my friends do we play sports. I remember most vacations, young white teens asking me if I could sell them drugs. I vividly remember coming back to my alma mater to assist with intern interviews and calling a candidate's name and no one came up. As I went to go back to my company's cubicle, a young white man called out, hey I "think" you're looking for me. I said you been sitting in the waiting room the whole time (with other students), why would you NOT answer after I've clearly read your name out loud. He said: "I was scared, I saw a big (pause) man standing there...and". I quietly knew the code he was speaking of. This young white man was willing to miss an interview with a premier consulting firm because a black man IN A SUIT, in a large room full of recruiters (and students) in cubicles (tens of us) --- called his name. Again I repeat, he almost missed an interview because of his privilege and prejudices. 

This is why roughly two decades ago I started this blog with one thing in mind. A determination to always be balanced because I have and will always face obstacles in my life. I needed options so my balance stems from my pillars and I vowed to never be financially dependent on anyone or any company (entity). That why I work in Corporate America on terms I find manageable, own my own startup consulting firm, managed a growing investment portfolio and have a rental property to mine name. I can individually live of each of these separately except for my rental property. I technically retired a few years ago (2 years behind my goal of 35) as I humble enough to retire to a modest ranch home paid off in most urban cities of America. But I'm also determined to help people understand how to be personally responsible for their own path and independence -- but you must be determined to roll up your sleeves and do the work yourself.

Kujichagulia (self-determination)

New Stock Shout-Out: Game Stop (if you read until the end, now tell me how can I like a company so hated)

Hookup Alert - Caesars Entertainment (CZR) + El Dorado Resorts (ERI)

If at first you don't succeed (first you don't succeed),
Dust yourself off, and try again
You can dust it off and try again, try again

Artist: Aaliyah

Song: Try Again

Rest in Peace to the Great Aaliyah. Gone to soon but your music lives on in our hearts.  So I gave you a story about another one of my good friend’s Tilman Fertitta, who is the owner of the Houston Rockets, The Golden Nugget, and Landry’s Restaurant chains, etc. I saw him on TV the other day still sounding a little cautious, however; with things re-opening I’m sure his worst case fears are dissipating. See here for my risk breakdown of how Tilman danced with debt and got very lucky: https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2020/03/a-house-of-cards-pt-2-debt-gift-curse.html

Cue the music: a billi a billi --- he’s an old money billionaire, so there's a few things to learn. Thanks Lil Wayne I’ll take it from here. I wanted to highlight a trade my buddy Tilman brought to my attention a little less than two years ago. It’s no secret I like diamonds in the rough and Caesars Entertainment (yeah home to Caesars Palace in Las Vegas) was one of those gems I started looking at a few years ago. An iconic venue in Las Vegas, Caesars (CZR) is known worldwide and I’ve partied many a times there myself. But Caesars  over the years had taken on a lot of debt and hadn’t really done much.  So when Tilman and his Golden Nugget company made a play for Caesars I decided then was the time to strike.  This is a quick lesson for those just starting out in investing. Look for investments within your life that give you OPTIONALITY. Does it have a good MOAT --  that wide body of water surrounding castles like in Game of Thrones were there for a reason…to keep would be attackers at bay. Caesars brand is like that MOAT -- an iconic branded designed to keep people coming back to their properties. While I like good management, I like the right price even more. I followed CZR as it dropped into the $5-7 dollar range back in 2018 and apparently I wasn’t the only one watching. Pretty soon my boy Tilman and his Golden Nugget company were trying to slide into CZR’s DM. The stock shot up and I decided to pick some shares up as I was a little bit late to the party but believed it had more room to run up. After eight months of Golden Nugget trying to hook up, CZR ghosted on them.

My next lesson is stay clear headed. I got nervous and sold my position which ended in a loss. I should have stayed the course but I took the loss. Likely a result of listening to NOISE --- like being inundated with posts on Facebook and one of the reasons I don’t logon to the platform much. If you listen to NOISE you tend to move with the herd…and I am no sheep. I prefer going against the grain. Sheep will tell you to be patient for change when you clearly see systemic issues right in front of your eyes. I’m not having any of that.

But I am human; I panicked and sold my position for a loss. See below, the “L” I took back in 2018:

The nice thing about investing is it’s just you and a market of 10K+ stocks. If you’re right, you had the guts to make the call. If you’re wrong…it’s on you. All people want in life is a fair shot…the game not to be rigged…the knee taken off of our necks.  My "I told you so moment" was just 3 months later when rumor had it Caesars was now flirting with Eldorado Resorts (ERI).  Not happy about the “L” I took just a few months ago I felt a bit vindicated in CZR as an investment. I jumped back in as the two confirmed they were hooking up. My position was in the GREEN and I was on to the next trade. My 2019 positions for CZR:

Then COVID-19 happened and I watched the closure of casinos and gathering spaces to halt the spread of the virus. CZR cratered and fell as low as $3.52 on March 18^th. I held strong this time…not following the herd…knowing CZR’s worth (in the stock market we call this intrinsic value). That’s what makes some of us different. I know my worth, which then helps me evaluate the worth of everything in life. CZR intrinsic value is iconic, trust I have the pictures to prove it.

My last lesson - do your own deals…own your own masters. It helps to be good in math but stop giving your dough to someone else if you can’t quantify that value they are bringing to the table. It’s not personal, it’s your independence and I treat it as such.

As you see above, I even opened a new stake in CZR yesterday because I have conviction the deal gets done. I’ve already been sent the follow merger terms to review and on May 12th things became clearer as Eldorado Resorts provided a timeline to close the $17.3 Billion acquisition of CZR that's not too far off. There are approvals pending from the states of Indiana, New Jersey and Nevada and then it will be sent to the Federal Trade Commission. The math is this: ERI is paying Caesars shareholders the sum of $8.40 plus an amount equal to $0.003333 (the “Ticking Fee”) for each day from March 25, 2020 until the closing date of the Merger (the “Closing Date”), multiplied by (ii) a number of shares of Caesars common stock (the “Aggregate Caesars Share Amount”) equal to (A) 682,161,838 plus (B) the number of shares of Caesars common stock issued after June 24, 2019 and prior to the Effective Time pursuant to the exercise of certain equity awards issued under Caesars stock plans or conversion of Caesars’ outstanding convertible notes (the “Aggregate Cash Amount”). Subject to the proration procedures set forth in the Merger Agreement.

The Truth is all that legal language above don’t mean much. Keep Life Simple, Treat People Fair:

At $8.40 a share in cash plus shares in the new company, I break it down like this:

-             If you bought below $8.40 à You’re getting all your cash back, some profits, and shares in a New Company ERI ( a free roll as my       gamblers call it)

-           If you bought above $8.40 below $10 à I’m no gambler but any returns on your investment 80% and above is close to a playing with the house’s money. If you add in the free shares you’re receiving in the new company that = getting Optionality (most of my money back to move on to new investment plus free shares in a new company

I started this blog many years ago because I’ve witnessed system racism all my life. Early on I knew I needed an exit plan because Corporate America wasn’t thinking about diversifying its ranks. No mentors, I was one of the fastest rising African American’s to make the senior management ranks because I worked harder and longer than most. I could probably count the number of African American director’s at my company (which is the next level) on 2 hands in a company that boasts over 15K people so I knew that glass ceiling was real. I look forward to change but until these institutions are dismantled you’ll see me here diversifying myself for those moments when someone brings terms to me that aren’t equitable for me or my family…I always have the OPTIONALITY to say no. Sadly there is no strategy for racism, bad policing, and hate. I only know to do what my late African father taught me to do. Know My History, Know Where I’ve Come From, Treat Others with Respect, and to be the King I was meant to be…all while still not taking shit from anyone. I put love out into the world and expect it back. That’s all I ask for. 

Peace and Love ✌

Full Disclosure: I am long CZR option contracts. Fancy BS for I think the stock will go up

A Toast --- Refinance Your Future

Blessings all pon mi life and

Me thank God for di journey, di earnings a jus fi di plus (yeah)

Gratitude is a must, yeah

Me see blessings fall by mi right hand

Buss a toast fi di friends weh tek off heavy load

One time did sit down inna class and we bored

Den Oli say do road and mi gwan wid di road

Lyrics by Koffee --- "Toast"

Gratitude is a must, well said Koffee and a beautiful and fun song. A reminder life is short, thank God for the journey and the earnings that we have. I know many of us are following along and trying to position our family, friends, and colleagues in a position where we can come out of this COVID-19 pandemic crisis as as unscathed as possible. It is not easy but I remind people recessions are built into our economic model and life is uncertain --- so we must always stay ready for what life has in store for us. And yes Koffee me thank God for the journey, the earnings are just a plus..they cannot replace family, friends, memories, or life itself.  So this article is to stop and recognize the hard work of friends, family and readers. I think about all those hours I used to spend in the gym, on the football field, and on the baseball diamond. Practice helped me during the most difficult moments of a game. I relied on the skills I had practiced day after day. So "we" must all do the same in life --- keep your head down during adversity and keep your eye on the greater prize. Here is how we are surviving and thriving through the Covid-19 pandemic:

Liquidity is Key
Remember during a crisis, cash is king and debt is debt is not your friend because the people that provided you with that debt are afraid you won't pay. So rule #1 is to get your hands on cash.

Rainy Day Funds - Me personally I have a rainy day account that is just for these times. Pandemic, loss of job, emergencies.
Stock Funds - I got liquid here as well. It's easy to sell like I did in my 401K account and go to cash. But in my brokerage account I sold a few winners and reinvested in losers. I also bought some new stocks and I hope to ride them on the way up
Assets - Another popular way to get liquid is to tap your home equity. Also called "Cash-Out Refinance", you can borrow equity from your home. Readers and friends have contacted me about how they were able to successfully tap equity and are sitting on a war chest as small backstop through this crisis or to fund their next investment. But if you weren't in the gym with us, you'll find now that banks are reducing their risk and that means they are closing off this popular source of getting cash.

Debt is Not Your Friend

The most difficult thing during a crisis is paying debt when your primary source of funds dries up -- reduction in hours, loss of job, furlough. Hence why liquidity is key to hold you over.

Refinance - If you were in the gym with us. You used this time to refinance as much of your debt that you have. You can have good debt and bad debt but all must be evaluated. As mentioned above, I know of readers that refinanced, I just refinanced and dropped over 1 full percentage point off of my mortgage rate. Got the great news today the loan is closed.  

Cutting Costs - I recommend reviewing all of your costs. You choose what is necessary and what is a nice to have. But don't be scurred, all of your debt or costs need to be revisited. This is the fun part --- where you prove you are the boss of your life/household/path. Make a list and reach out to every vendor and see how you can renegotiate terms. First, they should value and covet your business. The biggest risk to a vendor is losing a good customer. Second, the next big risk is a customer who can't pay. So work out better terms or leave for a new vendor. If you cannot pay, talk to them about your hardship --- credit cards, student loans, and many utility companies will work with you on payment plans or temporary forbearance.  Over 7% of all mortgages (needs fact checking) are in forbearance so there is no stigma if you lost your job or have fallen on hard times. Many business people I know even go a step further and reorganize their corporation --- this is a fancy term for bankruptcy. Nothing to be ashamed of...you never want to get into debt so deep that you'll never really be able to pay it off.

I'm having fun with it and call it board meetings -- I just called Comcast and didn't like their answer so we are switching to a new vendor. For insurance, I reached out to a consultant who is calling a number of providers to find me the best insurance plan for my family. If you don't meet my demands in my board room, we jump ship. See ya Geico.  But read the fine print and avoid long-term contracts unless they are truly in your favor.

Go on the Offense - My favorite thing is when the world is pulling back to find those pockets to begin investing. When things are at there darkest hours, I think of myself as an explorer looking for those rare gems. Again, my friends and family are already pouncing. Toast to my little brother purchased his first home and I know of friends who have offers on the table. If you look back, during the last major crisis is when I bought my home --- I did the math and prices in the city of Chicago had dropped roughly 40% since the peak. Remember my candy bar analogy, I only remember when Reese's Cups were 50c. So you're gonna have a hard time talking me into paying anything more. 

Now that I've refinance my home, I'm going to have a board meeting on my rental property...if my bank is smart they will come to the table with a good deal. After that, I plan to begin search on my 3rd property. This will take lots of research because my next investment has to earn the right to use my hard earned money. Hopefully this next property can be the stepping stone to fund an empire of diversified property. I guess you can say I have dreams like Lucious and Cookie in the TV show Empire. 

Moment of Prayer --- No matter how successful you are, there are variables that are out of your control. I saw the disgusting murder of a black man in Minnesota and I got emotional. Once again, the snuffing out of an innocent life was on full display for the world. It reminded me recently of the time, I was returning from the hospital to go to work and got pulled over. I was checking in on my critically ill father and the police pulled me over for speeding at 8AM in the morning (even though I was not given a ticket). I had recently watched the movie "The Hate U Give" --- and rolled my window down quickly and put my hands on the dashboard. The cop recognized how serious I was taking this event and commented that this is not the way to start you day huh. I stayed quiet because at that moment all I could think of was my critically ill father, my youngest daughter, and my pregnant wife. I have a family to come home too. And if someone took that away from me ---- they don't deserve that right. I tell everyone to please be safe from the Covid-19 virus but to my people of color I also have to tell you to please be safe AT ALL TIMES.  God bless you all

Symantec / NortonLifeLock - It Goes Down In The DM

It's December and I wanted to recap my best performers this year. I hope these notes serve as a way to help develop a strategy and display that it's not hard to invest in things you know.  Ironically, I trade enough that I don't know exactly who were top dawgs until I began doing a little bit of data analytics over the year. So I'll let you know who surprised me and why they made the list from my notes.

Symantec Corp. (SYMC) now known as NortonLifeLock NASDAQ : NLOK

In 2019, Symantec Corp. stumbled onto my radar. Quick background, they are one of the old guards in the IT and cybersecurity space.  They are huge and in almost every large companies data center and for consumers like you and me...many of us use their Norton Anti-Virus system on our home computers. I started hearing rumblings that the financials have not been good and the CEO was stepping down, which led the stock to fall, over 10% I believe (May 2019).  So hear is a name I know is in every large company across the globe and in many households.  So I put my alert to buy Symantec and being a little greedy I waited to pounce at an even lower price. This example shows investing is about both timing and price. 

How my trade unfolded:

Early July 2019 - News hit that Broadcom Inc. had DM'd (my version of trying to hookup) with Symantec Corp. for somewhere around $28 a share. I was right YES! But only on the time of the stock, being greedy on the price, I did NOT own any shares and the stock had probably moved up from around $22 to $26. It wasn't official because Symantec Corp. said if you like it put a bigger ring on it...$28 ain't good enough. For me, watching this was tough because it made sense, but you win some and will lose many. But never forget about the ones that got away.


July 15 2019 - News broke that Broadcom Inc. was officially no longer in Symantec Corp.'s DM. They wanted no part of a golddigger, reaching for more money. Symantec Corp. was officially left at the alter and the stock dropped big time over 15% and was back where I first found it. A song popped into my head: "You don't know what you've got until it's Gone" and I decided to finally
buy Symantec Corp. Why, it was like Broadcom Inc. had done all of the hard work of getting the phone number and then giving it to me to make the call. So I went in big because I knew Symantec Corp. should be trading around the $28 dollar range. Now that's what I call a wingman.

August 8 2019 - Yup you guessed it Broadcom Inc. had the same song in their head too and wanted Symantec Corp. back. But they were more cautious and only wanted to buy Symantec Corp.'s enterprise business which supports those big companies that I talked about...NOT the anti-virus business they sell to consumers like us. How much: $10.7 billion deal, the stock move up to the 24-25 range.

November 5 2019 - Symantec Corp. (SYMC) is no longer in the enterprise space so they are "Feeling Good As Hell" with their new focus on consumer security products and identify protection and change their name to NortonLifeLock NASDAQ : NLOK   (Note: they bought LifeLock a few years ago)

December 10 2019 - Saw news today that McAfee (owned by Intel now) and a few Private Equity Firms are DMing NortonLifeLock. So the stock has jump above $26 dollars on the news

I wanted to thank Symantec / NortonLifeLock, Broadcom, Intel McAfee, and the Private Equity Firms for giving me my best position of the year and all the drama that unfolded better than a scripted drama show or TMZ news feed because I can make $$ of this drama.  Thank you Yo Gotti and Lizzo for songs that popped into my head as I wrote this. Reminder, if I can do it you can too.  I'm tagging Symantec / NortonLifeLock because I think other suitors may be lining up. #investandchill   #investingintheDM #hookupalert

Tell Me What's Happening: Interest Rates Rising / Homebuyers Are Hurrying

There are a few themes going on around me right now.  Is it just me or does everything seem a little 'CHOPPY'!  This seems to apply to the weather, the stock market, jobs, interest rates...and definitely GAS prices.  So I wanted to start a dialogue to help us understand why.  There is no point in me writing (or talking) much I want to post a few videos that may help explain why.

First up is Interest Rates. These rates help determine what our mortgage rates will be.  The Federal Reserve can manipulate interest rates to help speed or slow down our economy when it needs to...think like a treadmill.  They have hinted they may be doing less tinkering with the economy and that is making rates move higher.  Oddly enough, this may be great for homeowners as buyers may race to get in on this historically low rates BEFORE its too late.

Check this video out:

1st Quarter 2013: PREMIUM STOCK ALERTS

1st Quarter 2013: 3 PREMIUM STOCK ALERTS

Please contact me directly (email_urbanomics@yahoo.com) to subscribe to this quarter’s premium stock alerts.  Find out what I have my eye on and more importantly when I will be adding these stocks to my portfolio.

1st Quarter 2013 Premium Stock Alerts

My 1st quarter picks are FINALLY OUT. I’ve been researching these stocks over the course of the last 3 months and found 3 stocks with margin of safety and the right catalysts.  Please see the following stocks that were sent to subscribers receiving premium alerts.

Stock #1: **********

Details

Sector: Financial Industry: ????? Tip I've got Montrose...and I'll even count Benton

Stock #2: **********

Details

Sector: Consumer Goods Industry: ????? Tip You need 1 for March Madness...

Stock #3: **********

Details

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Oil and Gas Tip In Texas "Its The Law"

Its March and my newest picks are finally out. The Fed is 'Making It Rain' money and stocks will continue to do well. But I only really like stocks that have been beaten down...like they stole something. So its really getting difficult to find a lot of discounts. More stock reveals coming soon.

Dow at 14000 (Pt.3) - The Markets Will Go Lower!?!

If you've followed my last few posts its very clear by now that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DOW) is trading right around 14,000.  The Dow is a broad representation of many companies throughout the US and is often used as a indicator by many investors. These levels are significant because they are very near all-time highs and more importantly a representation of how far we've come. If we go back four years ago, the DOW was at roughly 8900 and thanks to the American people, companies, government we've bounced back almost 50%.

  In PART 1 of this series (Dow @ 14000), I tried to show you how information available to the public can be used to develop your direction on where the markets are headed.  In short you should always be invested in the stock market but when the market is cheap you should invest more and when its expensive you should pull back some.  So clicking on the link above helps to show that through a little research the average investor can pick up on some signals that assist us in knowing when to buy stocks.  And who better to get some tips from then billionaire investor, David Tepper.  

So we participated in this nice run up in the markets, however; the REAL question is... will stocks continue to go up??  I guess the first thing to point out is there will be a correction! A correction in this case will be a pull back or a move down in the stock market. Simply put, a correction will likely happen because the markets have moved up in a straight line.  And think about the markets like you think about dieting...it never goes in a straight line (no one loses all of the weight all at once).  There will be really good weeks and a few bad ones and while the markets are getting healthy and losing the weight but they haven't had any setbacks.  You can almost hang your hat on the fact that there may be a pullback because so many investors are talking about the need for one to justify that this market is for real (one with fluctuations) and not just some type of fad (like with diets).

So now its time to listen to some really smart people who believe the market(s) may go lower.  First up is Jeffery Gundlach who predicts that another crisis is coming to world markets who will try to stall by pumping money (see 'Making It Rain')...however; this story likely leads to inflation and possible default for some countries. I've read the following link and found his points very interesting:

Gundlach's Negative View On Markets

Now that you've read the article along with me, I find it interesting that Gundlach wants to buy the following hard assets: 

• Gemstones,
• Art, and 
• Commercial Real Estate

When it comes to stocks he'll be investing in the following types of equities:

• Chinese stocks
• Nat Gas producers
• Gold Mining stocks

The next investor that believes that the picture is also a little murky is Marc Faber.  Please click on the link below to hear why Marc thinks the markets are due for a pullback:

What do you believe?!? If you feel that it's intuitive that markets can't just go directly up then you may be in the camp for a pullback because that is natural and healthy.  So you could benefit by selling some of your winners and/or by waiting for a pullback to buy more stocks.

Happy New Year / Themes for 2013

Happy New Year - 2013

In my first post of the year, I want to say Happy New Years to everyone out there! I wanted to pass on these words while telling everyone to continue to achieve balance, stick to your resolutions, and live life!  My backdrop on this day is ironic as I am listening to the 44^th President of the United States, Barack H. Obama, at his inauguration.  It comes on a very special day, the day that we celebrate the life and teachings of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. 

Investment Themes to Consider for 2013

The following themes have been at the top of my mind lately and definitely impact my thoughts on the market.  For my more familiar readers, you’ll see that I will continue to highlight the articles, videos, clippings, and personal views that shape my thoughts.  For new readers, I hope you appreciate my quest in trying to simplify investments, the economy, and what’s going on with your money.  I’ve often found out that they are related and it’s usually for some very interesting reasons.  First, let’s start off with why I believe the economy is heading in the right direction.  But a word of caution, when things are doing well…don’t be greedy and bank some of those winning profits that got you there.  Here is why the markets are doing so well:

Why Stocks Are at Record Highs

Last Wednesday, the Federal Reserve communicated their outlook on the American economy through a book known as the Beige Book. Here was what Zacks.com had to say about that data: “Wednesday offered up a trio of positive economic reports. Industrial Production, Housing Market Index, and the Beige Book all painted a picture of a moderately expanding economy with no stumbling blocks in sight.”  Zacks.com

I chose this next article because it shows how things and investments are often linked.  As the housing markets improves think about the things that will benefit as this trend continues think about the simple things around you that are worth investing, hardwood and carpet sellers, home renovations stores, and even copper which is used throughout your home. See this next article on the improving housing market:

Housing

“Copper rose for a third day as improving U.S. economic data fueled expectations that demand from the second-largest user will improve this year. Metal for delivery in three months climbed as much as 0.3 percent to $8,085.25 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange and traded at $8,067 at 11:02 a.m. in Shanghai. Copper advanced to a one-week high of $8,130 on Jan. 18.  Housing starts in the U.S. climbed 12.1 percent last month to a 954,000 annual rate, exceeding all forecasts in a Bloomberg survey of economists, according to Commerce Department data on Jan. 17. A Labor Department report showed fewer Americans applied for jobless benefits.”  This snippet was from Bloomberg.com    Housing Link

I will stop here for now but coming soon will be more articles on themes that shape my investments going forward.