When to Buy: Playing Offense | Side Hustle 101: Pay to Play | Moral Vote

 

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/urbanomics-pillars-path-set-for.html
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2013/02/personal-finance-budget-101-free-credit.html
	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2019/11/hey-henry-high-earner-not-yet-rich.html
How to Open My First Brokerage Account	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/personal-finance-101-starting.html
Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments) HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:	Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:

Coming soon is a post on Health -- The Body. You have to invest in and know the data about your body. Like many people of color, I get nervous about hospitals and doctors. Thanks to my corporate job, I was exposed to annual exams and blood tests. Unfortunately, when I made the shift to being an entrepreneur I didn't keep up with my annual exams. And it may be costing me...stay tuned for a future post on Health and how that impacts your Wealth. 

Also Coming Soon - a series on #HowtoInvest. People have been reaching especially after the spikes in Gamestop, AMC, and other stock to learn the basics. I self taught myself how to invest beginning at the age of roughly 18 and have never stopped. To be a good investor and ensure you are not gambling (speculating), I'll cover (hardest parts of investing in RED):

Budgeting 101 - How to Fund Ur Investments?

Why Stocks as an Investment?

What is Ur Investment Profile + Personality?

How to Pick Stocks?

When to Buy Stocks?

How to Enter My Trade?

How Many Stocks Should I Own?

When to Sell Stocks?

Am I Speculating (Gambling)?

When To Buy A Stock - Go On Offense 

Learning From David Tepper (Street Cred: #ABilliSquad Member Net Worth: $14.5B, When He Speaks Markets Listen, Owner: Carolina Panters; Charlotte FC (Major League Soccer): David has been a buddy for a long time. If you search my blog, he was instrumental during the financial crisis of 2008. When many were scared or unsure, wondering if the horrible housing bubble would ever end...David spoke calmly about what the Federal Reserve was doing and the fact that it was "Game On". He signaled it was time to be less afraid and start investing and that's what we did here. By following David's advice, we start investing around the lows of the market and our stock portfolios benefitted greatly.

So I wanted to share the following snippet from David for my "When to Buy A Stock" series:

"Tepper says big market corrections create big opportunities for investors and they need to spot those opportunities to become successful in investing.  

The investing legend advises investors to remain updated on all the market information and conduct thorough research before investing in a company to understand the best opportunities available."

Source: By Anupam Nagar ETMARKETS.com

Thanks David and in case you didn't completely follow what he meant, here is a "Detail" breakdown:

Market corrections create big opportunities - For us regular folk that don't speak Wall Street, he's simply saying to find opportunities to buy stock when the market is off its game.

What is a Correction? Try these example(s): 

a) When LeBron James, Serena Williams, or Tom Brady has a bad game (aka: market correction), INVEST -- they are ballers and will bounce back.

b) When you stand in line for hours on Black Friday freezing waiting for low priced deals (aka: market correction), INVEST -- buy that TV because those rock bottom prices are temporary.

This week I have 8 stocks that will expire profitably:

Tegna (TGNA) - Bought months before the elections when they media companies were at their lows. This is a hedge the stock will trade higher, as I have a big position in TGNA

Navistar (NAV) - Shareholders, like myself, approved the takeover from Traton. Small, but nice profit made here

P****** - This is a subscriber alert stock. We have a big position and continue to go on offense in this position.

Wabash National (WNC) - Small position, our play is to if things can continue to re-open...trucks will be on the road.

Viacom (VIAC) - Still on offense in this position. Read my previous posts

Roku (ROKU) - Still on offense in this position. Read my previous posts; This is a hedge and will be profitable by the end of the week

Snap (SNAP) - Small position, Snapchat is finding ways to make money off advertising and it's working

Palantir - I keep hammering this stock. I told the doctor who took care of me that Government, Cloud, and Security are forces that are converging.

Roku - So nice, I traded it twice 👌

#getthebag

Side Hustle 101 - Know Your Worth

1) Someone's Listening - Skipping College Sports Isn't Insane 

Why I'm Reading: Someone's listening. To keep it short, this article is about a league being developed to COMPENSATE high school athletes in a development type league prior to them being considered or drafted for the National Basketball Association (NBA). Again, I've been a broken record - NCAA makes money, colleges make money, coaches make money (and have radio shows)...the players are one injury away from devastation. On top of the fact on 3% of college athletes will make it to the professional leagues. I can sincerely say they ARE NOT being paid their worth.

Link: The game plan: Elite players find paths to pros besides NCAA (msn.com)

Prism - Voting is a Moral Issue

1) When I Lost I Shook The Opponents Hand --- I Didn't Get Revenge 

Why I'm Watching: The Ken's did an amazing job a few weeks ago. They used their muscle to alert the business community of a troubling development. A business community that was slow in it's initial response because businesses usually stay outta of it. Laws being developed across the country after record voter turnout. As a technology subject matter expert, I find it interesting we can use our mobile phones to securely gamble on sports and even purchase lottery tickets. Oddly, voters lines remain long, drop boxes are constantly argued, and more not less restrictions are being placed on this pillar of democracy. Making "progress" in our voting process doesn't mean you have to be progressive. Thank you Ken Frazier and Ken Chenault.

Video: 

When to Buy Stocks -- Demand Value | Don't Follow the Crowd

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/urbanomics-pillars-path-set-for.html
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2013/02/personal-finance-budget-101-free-credit.html
	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2019/11/hey-henry-high-earner-not-yet-rich.html
How to Open My First Brokerage Account	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/personal-finance-101-starting.html
Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments) HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:	Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:

Coming soon is a post on Health -- The Body. You have to invest and know the data about your body. Like many people of color, I get nervous about hospitals and doctors. Thanks to my corporate job, I was exposed to annual exams and blood tests. Unfortunately, when I made the shift to being an entrepreneur I didn't keep up with my annual exams. And it may be costing me...stay tuned for a future post on Health and how that impacts your Wealth. 

Also Coming Soon - a series on #HowtoInvest. People have been reaching especially after the spikes in Gamestop, AMC, and other stock to learn the basics. I self taught myself how to invest beginning at the age of roughly 18 and have never stopped. To be a good investor and ensure you are not gambling (speculating), I'll cover (hardest parts of investing in RED):

Budgeting 101 - How to Fund Ur Investments?

Why Stocks as an Investment?

What is Ur Investment Profile + Personality?

How to Pick Stocks?

When to Buy Stocks?

How to Enter My Trade?

How Many Stocks Should I Own?

When to Sell Stocks?

Am I Speculating (Gambling)?

When to Buy A Stock

Enough talking -- pictures and videos are worth a thousand words, so I plan to move into the digital age here soon. I'm an old soul in a millennial body with a 9-5 job and a side hustle empowering underrepresented groups to find employment in the technology field (and it's cash flowing almost better than my 9-5 job!). Oh by the way, I own real estate (with tenants) and trying to grow that portfolio. So be patient as I plan to do a video series that will help you invest in yourself and #getthebag. My best asset class is my stock portfolio and yes, it allowed me to semi-retire at 37. I've documented how I've done it here on my blog (mistakes and all) for the last 15+ years. Don't believe people that say it's easy --- Trust But Verify. If they are NOT teaching you how to do it yourself --- Then You Are The Product. #facts

Leading up to my video series, which you've been asking for, here is an example of how I hunt for stocks. Sometimes I rely on my network of friends in my #MansaMusa network. They've helped me build my mini empire and I appreciate all of them as they've support me in different ways. When I got started I had a few #whentobuy rules. Last week, I shared Rule #2 - Follow Da Leader | Whale Watch | Griot Rule. Warren Buffett was great to read about, learn from, and occasionally follow but he is one smart brotha...he often requests and usually get approved the right to withhold some of his biggest trades. Why? So he can slowly build a large position and limit Griot watchers like me from following him. There are federal rules which require Warren to disclose his trades and he doesn't want his stock investments to skyrocket right away (from copycats) before he's built his large stake. I may not be a Griot yet, but like my father I'm a like to preach and teach. So I can't give everything away...I know my worth but I USUALLY try to make investments that align with my goals, risk tolerance, and personality. Two hints at what I mean and then I get to a few stocks on my subscriber list and one reveal.

Wanting Value:

  Hint 1: For years, I've written about the fact that I won't by a candy bar if I can't get it for 50c. For the longest time, that's what a Reese's or Snickers cost growing up. Yes, I believe in inflation but if you don't sell it to me for 50c or a Kings size bar for $1.00...you're not getting my money. Life is full of transactions and negotiations...I choose when I want to participate. 

A Difference of Opinion:

Hint 2: I personally like to go against the grain and as many have said...I like to walk my own path and don't follow the crowd too often. So if I see a stock getting dissed (Ex: Search for my Tesla or Lululemon trades and read my Elon Musk / Kanye West posts from years before), I tend to want to know more about the situation than just go with the crowd. Group think is very dangerous and is a primary reason why racism and oppression is what it is. Human nature is to seek the protection and worthiness from a group or gang...but it can lead to perverse outcomes - like when gangs have no rules and kids get killed, or when people with authority protect the bad apples in their group, or when people claim to have faith in something higher but the angry mob can lynch (skin color) or rape (young woman) because society or the current cultural climate doesn't communicate to them what they are doing is wrong. And then I hear the narrative, don't try and cancel those things people did back because it was a different time. I have one one --- Do Unto Others as You Would Have Them Do Unto You. I don't think in life you can ever "overlook" lynching, hate, rape, bullying ...because everyone was doing it. So When I invest...if most are doing it...I run the other way. Need one last example, we all celebrate Dr. Martin Luther King Jr and his approach to non-violence today. But in the 1960s, the FBI had him high on the list of public enemy #1s. How do you square that away...in my book non-violence teaching does not = terrorist (or communist for that matter) but they spent years watching and taping his every moves. So I take the same approach to stocks, if everyone jumps off the bandwagon I BUY:

- Elon Musk is an idiot for $420 tweet -- nice try, I invest in a genius and Tesla

- Kanye West is mentally crazy -- He's not the president, my mentor, impactful to my daily life...but IMO he seems to be savvy at music and business...oh by the way he's now worth over 5-6 Billion after a well executed clothing partnership with Gap. I don't have to agree with him to know he's going to appreciate in value: 

URBANOMICS: TESLA - MY BEAUTIFUL DARK TWISTED INVESTMENT

- Lulemon is finished after the then idiot CEO made harsh comments about plus-sized women and leggings -- He's a bum get rid of him and people still will buy ridiculously price leggings, yoga pants and clearly Yeezy's. 

URBANOMICS: Value Investing - Look4Leaders / FollowUrGut

#GettheBag - Premium Subscriber Alerts

Here are a few stocks from this Quarter's Subscriber List Premium Alerts:

• I***** - Beaten down technology company, that may get back up after being knocked back down
• M**** - With everyone jumping on the hot new thing...the old reliable has been thrown away. It may to soon to ask an old star to retire when the team isn't ready for a transition
• A**** - This company stumbled and decided not to IPO. But the SPAC route seemed like an ideal fit. No one's paying attention but the re-opening trade could have us running around like Mad Men
• F**** - Good ole fashion insurance was left out in the cold, but whoa interest rates are rising and everyone is jumping on banks, insurance and other interest rate sensitive stocks. 

Reveal - ViacomCBS (VIAC)

• V**** - Television and Advertising has been left for dead as streaming is the future. A quote taken from Barron's: "An analyst wrote that the recent run-up “doesn’t fully discount risks” from pressure on V****’s own legacy cable-network business, nor the risks to content-licensing revenue from the crumbling of conventional cable channels."

Haters gonna hate. Our Reveal is we own ViacomCBS (VIAC), recently the best performing stock in the S&P 500. Stay tuned for a "Details" writeup...but wondering when did I blog about ViacomCBS, Sept 2020:

URBANOMICS: How Being Risk Focused Allows Me to Play Defense + Offense

If you want to follow the crowd, by all means go ahead. However, I'd rather walk my own path. Reach out if you want to subscribe and monitor the trades I'm making in my portfolio. 

Also, guess the stock and I'll reveal if you're right.

Stitch Fix (SFIX) -- How Your Shopping Actually Helps My Wallet

 Stitch Fix reported quarterly earnings today and they blew their expected earnings number out of the water. The online personalization shopping experiment is here to stay for now. I tiptoed into this stock probably around the middle of May 2019 and the ride has been bumpy since then.  Being that I'm a bit old school, I actually like this stock for a simple reason...if my online personalization shopper (likely a combo between a computer and real person) finds something that works for me, I joke I don't even want you to experiment...just get me one of every color of that shirt. And comfortable pair of jeans, nope don't need new ones until these are worn out. Now I'm sure their tool is way more sophisticated then that but heck as long as they don't veer too far off from what works and fits well --- I think many people will give up the department store shuffle. Clothes off rack --- race to the fitting booth ---- damn how does a size smaller fit me in this designer and I need a size bigger with a different designer. 

I think the lazy habits of us all makes this an ideal play for measure me, I try it on, once you know what works --- bingo, keep repeating that model.  So back to the reason for my post. 

Stitch Fix is UP more than 30% and it just occurred after they reported earning. SFIX was one of the few retail stocks that was a downer in my portfolio and I'm surprised to say no more. I have a healthy profit and hope you do too if you've been following and stuck with the downers in my portfolio. Little tip, these are the stocks in the last few weeks that are starting to outperform. Don't remember those names, well just click here for SFIX and my retail stocks that are now soaring:

How My Defensive Stocks Are Now on Offense

Chart Game:

And yes if you eat Red Robin, by shoes from Foot Locker, use Kohls cash, buy Coach bags, watch CBS, ready USA Today or watch your local news station --- I'm a fan of your and appreciate you.

How Being Risk Focused Allows Me to Play Defense + Offense

Playing Offense - Embracing Technology to Be More Efficient

Being a cyber guy, I take a brutal stance to technology. I don't have Instagram, Twitter, or any other junk accounts to monitor my behavior, recognize my face, and tailor advertising JUST for me. Unfortunately, I have a Facebook account. But I'd be a fool to shun technology as I invest in them and understand how they attract the masses yearning for one simple thing --- human connection. I prefer to pick up the phone and chat, the most genuine form of communicating and being able to interpret the little things but we all have to adapt to the world around us. So you all would be proud of me, today, I wrote a majority of this post using a speech recognition service on my computer. In an effort to save time, I need am modernizing how I send emails and blog. I simply say open word pad and begin speaking. I understand computers, so slow and steady dictation spits out my thoughts while I work on other things or follow the markets. 

Playing Defense - When Defense Turns to Offense

For this post I wanted to talk about defense.  Being a risk manager, I often help companies play defense.  By playing defense and protecting your core assets from risk. I believe eventually, you'll hit an optimal point where you're actually playing offense.  I was recently reading an article that cited the great investor Bill Gross.  He was cofounder oOf the legendary PIMPCO bond funds.  I found what he said in this article very interesting.  To summarize, he was talking about playing defense.  He mentioned at this point there are not many investments areas to continue to make outsized returns. In my opinion, this is a dangerous place to be in a market when they're are not many investments remaining that can offer decent returns.

If you were to ask me what keeps be up at night, it would be just that --- as I evaluate most assets whether it be stocks, real estate, even precious metals they all seem to be moving in one direction...  and that's up.  I found it interesting that Bill mentioned tobacco, banks, and the geographical region of Europe as areas to invest. As I evaluate my portfolio, I believe I'm seeing a similar trend playing out.  When I filter for the stocks that have recently been increasing I find that my dogs or laggards in my portfolio are moving up nicely.  If you've read my blog in the past you'll notice that many of the stocks fall in the retail space:

RED Robin - Restaurants

Stitch Fix - Apparel

Foot Locker - Apparel

Viacom - Television and Advertising

TEGNA - Newpapers and TV stations Advertising (think USA Today and your local news)

AMC Theaters - Movies

NEWELL Rubbermaid - Consumer goods

Tapestry (Coach) - Luxury Bags and apparel

I find this trend surprising but I also welcome the frothiness of the market dissipating.  What keeps me up at night, is that these stocks are primarily  focused on the consumer. Similar to Bill's thesis of tobacco, banks, and Europe.  Let's take a quick look: restaurants, apparel, television, movies, and consumer goods. The resilience of humans is absolutely amazing.  With COVID and high unemployment still as the backdrop, you are seeing people yearning for a sense of normalcy so we do what we feel is normal -- the machine wants us to spend. And spend we are. I'm not sure if this is sustainable but I'd be a hypocrite if I didn't disclose my portfolio will do okay if these positions move up. While I hunker down, America is purchasing online I wish I owned Amazon, Target, Home Depot and Lowes but I am playing the ELECTIONS (with TV and advertising) and Gambling (Ceasars and DraftKings). Stitch Fix I was playing as a tech play but man holding on has been a long brutal wait. The rest, I can't wait to get out because like the Malls, I think the future of retail is owning the platform (Amazon, Shopify, etc.) and less the physical stores.

50c Candy Bars - My value Search

Finally, I always on the hunt for value or as my billionaire buddy Seth Klarman calls them cigarette butts. Me I called them the 50c candy bar deals. My spidy senses are looking at Viasat at these levels. Now comes the deep analysis of how to invest in a way that limits my risk --- haha finally I found something that won't keep me up at night :)

Stocks mentioned in this post: Tapestry (TPR), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB), Stitch Fix (SFIX), Foot Locker (FL), Viacom (VIAC), TEGNA (TGNA), AMC Theatres (AMC), Newell Brands Inc (NWL)