Why Sports Clubs are the New 'it' Investment

I'm not sure when I first invested in Manchester United but if you look back at my blog history it's most likely around 2016. It was a simple post about investing in an election year and go figure a Clinton and a Trump were running against each other. I may not have shared at the time, but I was investing alongside a good friend of mine from my MANSA MUSA network, billionaire Ron Baron (cue Lil Weezy - A Billi) Baron was yapping away in a CNBC interview and he laid out a very compelling thesis of the investment. I like simple and I like math and it was BOTH.

But let's rewind for a bit. For those of you that don't know what sport I'm talking about, I'm talking about original football. What we here in America call soccer but the world knows as the sport of football. Possibly where a single last name can be uttered and the ENTIRE world knows exactly who you are talking about: Pele, Lionel Messi, Diego Maradona, Critiano Ronaldo, Zinedine Zidane, Ronaldo, Ronaldinho, Andres Iniesta, Didier Drogba, Thierry Henry and the list goes on and on.

I don't remember the full talking points but it went something like this:

- The Los Angeles Dodgers at the time were worth something like $2 Billion dollars and we're talking baseball

- Machester United was worth less than that 

- The viewership for each game rivals the equivalent of a US Football Superbowl event

- Machester United is a top four club in the English Premier League so this was like getting shares in the Chicago Bulls (Jordan Years), Los Angeles Lakers, Boston Celtics, or Golden State Warriors (Curry Years) on discount! 

- In 2015/2016, he foresaw what we are experiencing today. The decline of cable means the Live Sports is a game changer for television viewership. 

Here were some of my previous posts:

: 2016 Post on Manchester United

2019 Post - Finding-value-in-Media-and-Sports-Stocks

In 2016, I was snapping up sharing at around $13/14 dollars a share. And the rumors continue to circulate that the Glazer family may sell this franchise and the sharks are lining up to buy. At over a mind boggling 7 Billion pounds, there is word a deal may be in sight. If I told you to be patient and wait a few years and your money would double --- could you do it? If I told you to avoid the flash and do the math --- would you really do it?

I purchase or hookup of this stock could enter it into my MansMusa Hall of Fame. Thanks to my guy Ron Baron for the simple advice and in this particular case a reminder of why sometimes we hunt in packs.

#MansaMusaHOF   - designates this stock pick was retired in my Hall of Fame

#ABilliSquad -  Billionaire investors from the Wall Street community that make up my squad. Ya Dig

#HuntinPacks - designates investments I made alongside someone in my network

#MansaMusaMentality

Store My Gold on Racks (GOLD, GDX, GDXJ, RXT)

Need for a Bubble

So in my last post you saw my brief tribute to Nas and Lauryn Hill. They are true giants, in my opinion, in lyrical expression and miseducation. Similar to Lauryn Hill, my blog is a miseducation on life because it asks you to wake the F%!# Up and think. I call my version of miseducation -- unplugging from the matrix. Don't get my blogs twisted, in order to wake up you need to ground yourself in the 4 Pillars we often cite here. One of the biggest being education and continuous learning...I call it SLAM +, please look up my post on Science, Legal, Arts, Math and + (technology and trades skills). I heard today COVID-19 has shown a disparity that I'm sure in negatively effectively some of my readers. College educated workers, especially those with 401K retirement type accounts are thriving in this pandemic. One of the root causes --group most likely to Work From Home.  Which then allows them to sit back and throw stones...like a common phrase I've heard: "Why were the unemployed getting an extra $600 a paycheck?"  This is the type of bs I can't believe we are still discussing...they must have been listening to Jay because --- they have no passion, no patience, and I guess they hate waiting --- on items like evictions, unemployment, safety of front line workers, etc.  Unbelievable, you want to send the less fortunate to the front lines while we can chill at the crib, reducing our risk, while watching the Federal Government bailout our 401K plans and re-inflating them past their previous levels. I guess main street doesn't get a bailout that rivals what your 401K got?  When I made a decision to WFH over 3 years ago, I vowed to never return to a physical office ever again. Many laughed at me when I gave them my risk assessment but look at where we are at now. I told you then and say it now, I can get my work done, take care of my family and better use my free time (while often working more hours) at home. But this benefit I've worked hard for, doesn't mean I should forsake my front line brothers and sisters. They need the best security, protections, and piece of mind for their families like WFH gives my family.  OHH did I mention, I am assisting my daughter with her virtual school program -- not exposing my baby to unnecessary risk when the National Basketball Association just showed all of America what is needed to survive and thrive in this pandemic --- A BUBBLE...sound familiar.  

Storing My Gold on Rack

I could give you my best Tyga, Rack City impression because I am a fan of his music but I think more importantly a fan of his mindset. If you recall, he was one of the first defectors from Cash Money Records when his L (in SLAM) - Legal contract appeared to be whack and NOT in his and his family's best interest. He was called names and the cancel culture told him be happy with what Baby (owner of Cash Money Records) gives you and did for you.  How did that turn out...well years later let's ask Lil Wayne who was also disgruntled and this led to The Carter V album release being delayed over disputes about...yep you guessed it his contract. At the end of the day, you have to do what best for you and your family and I have always rocked with Tyga before and definitely after that move. I'm not even going to touch the Kylie Jenner subject because at that time I was quoted as saying she was the most "down to earth" Kardashian Jenner AND I thought her then Social Media business empire was growing quite well. Fast forward to today and a company I owned Coty (cosmetics industry) bought a 51% for a roughly $500M stake cementing her Billionaire status. Now every hit song he writes, he gets a full "Taste" haha pun intended of the profits!

So Tyga let me tell you about my Rack City:

I have not been shy about owning GOLD in this economy. History has shown when the Federal Government prints money out of thin air to inflate the economy (and then does it at the fastest clip ever seen in history.) then it's time to put GOLD on my investment rack. My previous posts disclosed that I own shared in a small mining company called NOVAGOLD (NG) and I also like the Gold and Gold Miner ETFs. I've even disagreed with one of my first mentors Warren Buffett by owning GOLD since the 2008 financial crisis when my Billionaire Boy Club buddy John Paulson introduced me to NovaGold to hedge the pain of the financial crisis. Another time in history that we printed money like nobody's business. 

1) I agree with Warren that Gold has NO intrinsic value, and 

2) I agree that it should NOT be usually held as I technically have NO way to value this asset. 

However, assets like GOLD do have a place in this world and that is when there is FEAR in the water. While I am not fearful of much, I do think the US economy is at one of it's most dangerous crossroads possibly ever. The divineness is HIGH as people are diving the country along racial, economic, and social issues. So I am glad to hear that Warren the teacher, has done something that his pupil has done since 2008 --- buy GOLD!!! And he did in a major way:

1) Warren Buffett and the Berkshire team purchased a $562-million stake in Barrick Gold (GOLD)

2) He also SOLD --- most of the major US banks (JP Morgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs)

Warren won't be speaking soon on TV soon because he doesn't want to scare the masses that follow what he says. But like systemic racism and oppression, I have a responsibility to speak out and keep it real. I would follow what he's doing BUT I already own GOLD, but will consider evaluating Barrick Gold. Investors make purchases like this when we see risk in the economy. Go back and search my posts using the term GOLD and you'll see I own:

Novagold (NG)
Gold Miners Juniors (GDXJ)

and like but do not own:

Barrick Gold (GOLD)
Gold Miners (GDX)
Gold ETF (GLD)
Gold ETF (IAU)

I'm even re-thinking my position on Bitcoin as its a useless asset but if I believe there is trouble in the water, I want to consider assets people will run to.

 In honor of Tyga, Mr. Rack City, I also purchased shares of this stock:

Rackspace (RTX) - around the $17.5 range, the word on the streets is Amazon is sniffing around this company. Time to take a flyer on my version of rack city!

Novagold (NG); Gold Miners Juniors (GDXJ); Barrick Gold (GOLD); Gold Miners (GDX); Gold ETF (GLD); Gold ETF (IAU); Rackspace (RTX) 

Investing Like the Godfather of Harlem

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/urbanomics-pillars-path-set-for.html
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2013/02/personal-finance-budget-101-free-credit.html
	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2019/11/hey-henry-high-earner-not-yet-rich.html
How to Open My First Brokerage Account	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/personal-finance-101-starting.html
Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)	Search My Blog

If Regular People Did That Sh!t

Legal Tax Evasion – Just when I’d like to think sometimes I've hit rock-star status (blessed with a great family, job, friend) , I remember listening to Lil Wayne’s lyrics. Wait for it – “We are not the same, I am a Martian” 👽.  This subtle line he’s repeated in his songs is to remind many of us, we are NOT on the same planet as he is. Disregard the facial tattoos , the fact he signed Nicki Minaj + Drake to his label (Young Money), or the fact that he started rapping at 13 years of age, it’s pretty easy for me to realize I got some work to do before I hit legendary status and can simply be recognized by my nickname known worldwide (Lil Weezy).  Well my ‘If Regular People’ post is a quick reminder to most of us to stop and think, while your political vote may represent what you aspire (e.g., tax cuts, small government, less regulation, etc.) you are not a Martian like those super rich who truly benefit from those policies.  Read my last post, if you don’t have enough money and connections like Carlos Ghosn has to escape prison in another country (while on trial) using private jets and jumping into speaker boxes then…you might just be a human being…not a Martian 👽.

My next example is some sh!t truly only rich or wanna be rich people have time to think about and benefit from. So I was reading an article about conservation easements. To cut to the chase, this is a law that allows someone owning land to claim they are protecting land from being developed. You get to claim that you have saved the world by reducing pollution and maintaining its natural beauty (since it goes undeveloped) AND you depending on the value of the land…you get to deduct that sh!t from your taxes.  I’m trying to not fall out of my chair laughing😀! This tax loophole is getting abused (see the IRS Dirty Dozen tax loopholes) more than “instant replay” in professional sports at the moment – and that’s a lot. If this isn’t rich people abuse, why can’t I buy up all the land in the hoods across America, mark up the price even further, and sell tax credits (i.e., charitable donations) to my people in the hood who really need it? I could demolish all those bandos and get rich while doing the public a favor??  Who should be ashamed of themselves – the Rich people hammering this loophole, the government for letting this continue, or the disillusioned people who think they are voting for policies like these which are not really helping them out??

Well anyone using this loophole is also making it very clear to the rest of us -- that use a tax software (me) or ‘claim’ we have an accountant that used to work for the IRS -- YOU ARE NOT A MARTIAN.  For us regular people, remember invest in yourself, diversify your life, and let’s change the game.

Link: ProPublica - IRS Non-Crackdown

Investing Themes for 2020

Please remember, I primarily use a data driven approach to investing.  I like to review data and events that were successful in the past and use those patterns to see if they will be successful in the future. This helps me take the emotion out of my investing. To further reinforce this I tend to set up trade alerts and purchases when I am doing my research and analysis – these are set well in advance of buying a stock so I often don’t know: a. what date I will purchase a stock (if at all) + b. why I liked the stock so much (so I take notes or blog about its potential to serve as a reminder). I also try to see if a theme is emerging from my data (so I can hammer the trend further with even deeper analysis) and I corroborate my thesis by trying to see if my Billionaire buddies (Ray Dalio, Mario Gabelli, Warren Buffett, David Tepper, Carl Icahn, David Einhorn, etc.) have mentioned these themes whenever they speak on TV or at conferences.

·          Streaming Media + Sports + Gambling

o    Media - So you want to play the streaming craze. The trend starts with high flying stocks like Google (think YouTube), Netflix and Roku. Then add Disney if you like Hulu (yup, Disney owns a large portion of Hulu). But media is now king! Don’t believe me, please watch the amazing series – The Godfather of Harlem on Epix. This is a great example that content will likely win the war…so go out and buy the content media companies that Netflix is paying top dollars to be able to stream their shows. 

o    Sports - It’s no secret that for live TV, sports is the last game in town. Revenue deals with sports teams are through the roof as new social media companies fight regular cable companies to offer live sports. Don’t believe just check out Hulu ridiculous commercials stating “Hulu Has Live Sports”. Next, get paid for something you love doing – watching sports. Do me a great favor and compile a list of all of the sports companies that are public companies. Trust, it’s cool to say you’re an owner and it makes the season a lot more interesting when you invest in shares of a sports franchise. I keep a mental list of a few sports teams that I know are public: Manchester United, Atlanta Braves, New York Knicks

o    Gambling – If the economy is doing so well, why are states scrambling for your gambling dollars.  States all across America are rushing for the 21^st century gold mine – Gambling. Casinos are Sport Betting no longer taboo. With the likes of FanDuel, DraftKings, and your local casinos offering mobile and physical sportsbooks, respectively state are raking in dollars. Many more states will follow the trend and the industry is already noticing the trend of bets being placed on mobile phone within a 15 mile radius of state lines where gambling is not offered.  Again the data don’t lie, people are showing they are willing to cross a border just to place a bet on their phone in a state where sport gambling is offered and then they head home.  

·          Cyber + ME + Social Media

o    Cyber: Cybersecurity will continue to be a huge force. Stay tuned for a separate post on stocks in this space and read my previous posts on the names I’ve traded.

o    Social Media Stocks – I have resisted the temptations of being on Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat – but we’ll see how long the holdout continues. The world is telling you they want the attention to be all about them and what better platforms to scream to the world. So invest in social media companies because people are addicted and until people and possibly the government change the trends I’m seeing it will continue to be consumed. (Don’t believe me: see Apple’s new slow-mo selfie commercials) smh

o    ME – If you notice the consistent theme of what my data analysis is telling me is that people are using more and more things that have addictive qualities: TV binging, Gambling, Sports Betting, Social Media, etc. So the next surprising trend is people buy more things that allow them to look glamorous on social media. There is nothing better than TEETH and makeup. Yup, I’m positive Align Technology and Smile Direct Club are showing up in my research because people want straighter and whiter teeth to FLOSS on social media (no pun intended). Invisalign and Smile Direct are straightening teeth all across America. I was watching something about interesting entrepreneurs and this trend fell right into my lap. The entrepreneur got into the teeth whitening space very early and he attributes much of the success of his very lucrative business to the rise of social media and influencers (funny I thought selling yourself to another person was illegal). Or my small investment in Coty, guess whose cosmetics line they a bought 51% stake in shortly after: Kylie Jenner’s Kylie Cosmetics for roughly $1.2 Billion. Next what’s says, I’m into me better than Pinterest. It is now the 3^rd largest social media platform and it’s nothing more than a visual post-it note telling myself to buy more things for ME. If my thesis is correct and the world is getting more addicted (mainly to itself) this is great for Pinterest and the decline will be seen in church congregations across the world. The final ME investment is being consumed similar to TV, Social Media, Gambling, and Sports Betting -- its Medicinal and Recreational Marijuana. It was a CRIME to lock people up for something that people are lining up and down the streets to participate in legally.  Weed stocks are very volatile but will continue and have made many people rich legally while it funded the criminal justice system coffers (by locking up the so called gangsters) for so many years.  Now states want in on the action, even though there is no universal Federal law allowing the consumption of recreational weed. While there are too many stocks to name, you’ll see a few listed here: Aurora Cannabis, Cronos, Tilray, Canopy Growth, GW Pharmaceuticals, Cresco Labs, Acreage Holdings all play in the marijuana space.

I’m not judging on any of the trends above and will invest where I truly believe the market is going. But while I do, I can personally decide what I will participate in and won’t. So for now I guess you can call me the un-social media, non-gambling, non-smoking, slightly TV binging guy (The Godfather of Harlem, Power, NFL, + NBA) – hey Lil Wayne…maybe I am a Martian too.

My Predictions On the Upcoming War... (Free Picks Included)

Well I had a very interesting discussion last week on wars...and that was in a bar, so I figured I'd keep going I guess.  I could talk about North Korea but I'd rather talk about a different possible war.  I started off believing that only athletes and musicians "make it rain" and usually in dimly lit places :)

At Urbanomics, we don't leave you out in the cold, here is a quick definition from URBANDICTIONARY.COM:

Make It Rain: When you're in the club with a stack, and you throw the money up in the air... The effect is that it seems to be raining money. 

Then, I learned about Central Bankers around the world and their endless access to cash and they put guys like Lil Wayne, Adam 'Pacman' Jones, and P. Diddy to shame.  Central Bankers (around the world) are the equivalent to the US version of Ben Bernanke, the head of the Federal Reserve.  Earlier this year, I wrote about Ben and how some very smart investors (see David Tepper, Ray Dalio) were telling us that when the Fed 'makes it rain' it's our job to pick up the money and buy stocks.  We did just that and we've rode the stock market ALL THE WAY up to all time highs in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the SP500.

Here is where the war begins...other countries don't usually like when one country prints money because their goods become cheaper and the people across the world begin buying those cheaper goods and so far this has helped the US economy. So guess what they in turn do...THAT'S RIGHT, they sometimes do the exact same thing.  So who is ready for battle, see JAPAN.  They have an official that has promised to 'make it rain' at levels that only we've seen in here in America.  Here's why I find this interesting...and how we make money:

A Millie

is one of the hottest tracks out there right now, and for the hip hop impaired Lil Wayne is referencing his deep pockets on his latest album, The Carter 3. Then Jay Z came along and did a freestyle titled A Billie, so you do the math and guess how deep Jay Z's pockets might be. Now take A Billion and multiply it by 200!!! And whose pockets are those?

Yup, 200 Billion represents the estimated total that the could be used to "save" Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae...each possibly receiving 100. And who is responsible for those deep pockets none other than (unknowing) executives like you amd me! The Treasury department made the call this weekend to take over the two entities and bring a little some sense of reassurance that the end of the world is not approaching. And please believe me that as stock prices of these two entities headed for zero, the government could not let let them fail or else the American economy as you know it would have collapsed!

What does this mean...or more importantly what is the market telling you this means. Mr. Market right now is telling you by today's action that it is a solid move because he is hoping that this helps the mortgage rates to go down. If rates drop, consumers may be more likely to actually repay their loans, decrease the future foreclosures, and maybe even people from spur some consumers to think about taking out loans and buying houses. Who does this help, namely your banks and your and a long shot is the homebuilders.

So remember just awhile ago when I mentioned taking cover and waiting the storm out in safe investments like money markets and treasury investments, well now I am telling you to start reallocating your investments. I am leaning to Financials and Large Caps to benefit from this recent news. Why because as you start to calculate various probabilities, many analysts have reduced the likelihood of a catastrophic financial institution failing. Now don't get me wrong there will be banks that continue to fail but less likely it will be a BIG DOG.

How do I get my Urb on!

Now I am going to go out on a limb and say the whole world is catching up to my personal movement. If you need a constant reminder, add the Urbanomics RSS Feed to you webpage or email inbox. It's a gameplan that slowly being rolled out and I hope you are taking advantage of it as we learn together. Even Yung Joc is jumping on the bandwagon with his new album titled "Hustlenomics". Hmmm...sound familar, Hustlenomics and Urbanomics. Now if that's not some inspirational stuff then I don't know what is. Like I said the movement is deep and there will be different versions of my plan. Joc's Hustlenomics is taking what he is passionate about, the rap game, and hustling his way to the top to achieve financial empowerment (maybe other things but I doubt it). Urbanomics is a different variation and the focus is empowering ourselves to make our lives better. It's somewhat of a hustle that focuses on spiritual, financial, emotional, and physical strength.

After reading my blog posts, its pretty easy to tell which area is my strong suit. Now I am no Jim Cramer, Suze Orman, Warren Buffet, or even Yung Joc but I get my hustle on by keeping up with the world around me, especially the financial markets. And the focus on Urbanomics is not to dumb it down but to make it easy for the average person to follow whats going in a way that we all can understand. A little bit of hip hop, urban flair to the old world of Wall Street.

For example if your favorite musical artist was a stock who would you be buying, holding, or selling based on how well they have been performing. My buys list would be:
Akon, Kanye West, T-Pain, Chris Brown, & Lil Wayne. I would be holding 50 Cent, Jay Z, & Nas. And personally I would be selling Britney Spears, Whitney Houston, Bobby Brown, and the Shop Boyz (Party Like a Rockstar).