KUUMBA | CREATIVITY - Creativity Comes in All Forms

 Day 6 of Kwanzaa bring us Kuumba, or creativity. Full disclosure: I have tens of cousins and extended family members named Kumba so first I want to send a shout out to all my second born girl cousins who all seem to be creative souls. 

For me I wanted to speak on Creativity in a slightly different matter. When I think of creativity I think of resilience. I'll start with people I find creative:

Stevie Wonder - One of the youngest musical prodigies, Stevie overcame his disabilities to make music that touches the soul and creatively matches the activist mood of the country every step of the way.

LeBron James - As a 20 something, he was a super resilient athlete who knew his legacy would be tied to competing at the highest level and winning championships. Despite an owner and city bad-mouthing him (for leaving Cleveland) and fans burning his jersey he maneuvered the National Basketball Association (which primary is managed and coached by white males) to win championships with the Miami Heat. He returned to Cleveland and "delivered" a championship, and returned the luster and shine to my beloved LA Lakers franchise by winning a 4th title. He creatively did this when no other players did these types of things. He recruited players, now negotiates short-term deals so he can maximize his value (sound familiar), and uses his brand and platform for a school in Akron, his management team are people of color, his agent Rich Paul is black, and he is active politically... when most players previously didn't want to impact their business dealings and brand. Remember: "Shut Up and Dribble"

Streaming Content / Cord Cutters - A whole industry has been built off a simple premise I've written about here of the years. Why do I pay for channels I don't use?? When we cut the cord this year out of frustration with Comcast jacking their prices up (even though we could afford it), my technology boundaries led me to install an HD antennae. This was perfect for the kids as we get PBS, not much of a drop of there. It wasn't bad for the wife as most of her shows are actually non-cable TV shows. But boy, I took a hit, which the industry knew, because I follow sports and a few cable TV shows. Our family has saved easily over $150 a month by cutting the cord and just going to high speed internet and we showed resilience by not crawling back but creativity by treating ourselves to a ROKU streambar. A small investment got me a soundbar (not the best but decent) and introduced us to the creative world of streaming content. I can stream news channels and stock broadcasts and the kids can stream PBS and a few different cartoon options. My wife tapped her social network and now flips through Apple, Netflix, Hulu, HBO, and who knows what else. The most ironic thing is I recommended this stock and didn't fully understand the flexibility its technology was providing for this new generation of streaming and cutting traditional cord options. I now understand why Hulu wants to sell Live Sports and why Fubotv, a sports only streaming channel, skyrocketed 330% this year. 

State's Get Creative - Maybe the most creative thing I do, because of my job as a consultant/auditor is I am forced to listen to both sides. So I am one of the rare people that you will meet that wants to hear all angles before I begin my own investigation. I roll over in laughter as state and federal politicians preach those good ole puritan values. But the data tells me and it should tell you...they are doubling down in vices or supposed sin to fill their budget coffers. I won't go Boardwalk Empire on you...but you don't find it odd that your state:

• Offer Lottery Tickets
• Expanded Casinos and now is offering or looking into the growing world of sports gambling
• Offers Medicinal marijuana and many now make bank off of recreational marijuana (after years jailing minorities for something that magically becomes legal with the stroke of a pen?)
• Many cities are discussing reducing or removing drug tests because with the saturation of Meth throughout poor and middle-class America, Corporate America now can't find lower income white talent who can pass rigorously screening that often kept minorities out of their ivory towers. In my state, we've even discussed remediation centers, so these persons don't fill the jails and get a different path. Where was this creativity during the crack epidemic? Where were the work release programs for minority dealers selling weed, which we can't seem to control because the people have spoken: they were buying all that weed being sold and don't see the harm?

Front Line Workers - A personal message to the persons on the front lines. To be a part of the richest nation and day after day you had to patch together solutions so that you could try to have effective PPE, because we didn't stockpile or purchase enough is unacceptable. That is creative and God Bless You

My creativity I believe comes from going against the grain. When people turned against Tesla and Elon Musk, I decided to invest. When, I saw COVID-19 ravage China, I spoke out early. When many said the Sprint deal couldn't get done I creatively looked to simple clues like my Billionaire buddy and Sprint Chairman Masa Son selling his mansion (Mission Hills, KS) months before the deal as vindication this deal was gonna get done. Finally, in late Nov/early Dec I landed my 2nd corporate cyber project in as many months. The meetings were very smooth, so smooth our client decided to contact me directly via LinkedIn immediately after our discussion. Due to my company size, I often work through a middleman (because I still have a 9-5 job)...so when I learned I didn't receive the project I was floored. How could everything go so right with my client and this middleman tell me it's not going to happen. So I thought creatively, reached out on LinkedIn and voice my surprise but willingness to help him and his organization now and in the future. Strangely, a week later I get a call, the middleman now needs my help as the client wants me and my organization for the cyber project.

Don't be shy like Black Lives Matter was to be the voice that goes against the grain. The grain sometimes means you have a bunch of people entrenched that don't want to see change. I'm not sure city halls, police unions, and some people in our community want to see change...many love their comfort. Like my contract negotiation, some want to cut you, and maybe offer a lower priced vendor. I represented change a minority partner that was demanding my fair and sizeable share of the revenue for the work my company would be performing.  They didn't account for my subject matter expertise and my subtle comment to my client that we has so much in common there was no way we didn't have common colleagues in our line of work. That sowed a seed that creatively bucked the system wanting to cut me out of what I was entitled to. 

Please be resilient and use your KUUMBA. It's New Year's Eve, I wish you all a Happy and prosperous New Years. Peace and Love

Investing Like the Godfather of Harlem

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/urbanomics-pillars-path-set-for.html
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2013/02/personal-finance-budget-101-free-credit.html
	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2019/11/hey-henry-high-earner-not-yet-rich.html
How to Open My First Brokerage Account	https://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2015/04/personal-finance-101-starting.html
Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)	Search My Blog

If Regular People Did That Sh!t

Legal Tax Evasion – Just when I’d like to think sometimes I've hit rock-star status (blessed with a great family, job, friend) , I remember listening to Lil Wayne’s lyrics. Wait for it – “We are not the same, I am a Martian” 👽.  This subtle line he’s repeated in his songs is to remind many of us, we are NOT on the same planet as he is. Disregard the facial tattoos , the fact he signed Nicki Minaj + Drake to his label (Young Money), or the fact that he started rapping at 13 years of age, it’s pretty easy for me to realize I got some work to do before I hit legendary status and can simply be recognized by my nickname known worldwide (Lil Weezy).  Well my ‘If Regular People’ post is a quick reminder to most of us to stop and think, while your political vote may represent what you aspire (e.g., tax cuts, small government, less regulation, etc.) you are not a Martian like those super rich who truly benefit from those policies.  Read my last post, if you don’t have enough money and connections like Carlos Ghosn has to escape prison in another country (while on trial) using private jets and jumping into speaker boxes then…you might just be a human being…not a Martian 👽.

My next example is some sh!t truly only rich or wanna be rich people have time to think about and benefit from. So I was reading an article about conservation easements. To cut to the chase, this is a law that allows someone owning land to claim they are protecting land from being developed. You get to claim that you have saved the world by reducing pollution and maintaining its natural beauty (since it goes undeveloped) AND you depending on the value of the land…you get to deduct that sh!t from your taxes.  I’m trying to not fall out of my chair laughing😀! This tax loophole is getting abused (see the IRS Dirty Dozen tax loopholes) more than “instant replay” in professional sports at the moment – and that’s a lot. If this isn’t rich people abuse, why can’t I buy up all the land in the hoods across America, mark up the price even further, and sell tax credits (i.e., charitable donations) to my people in the hood who really need it? I could demolish all those bandos and get rich while doing the public a favor??  Who should be ashamed of themselves – the Rich people hammering this loophole, the government for letting this continue, or the disillusioned people who think they are voting for policies like these which are not really helping them out??

Well anyone using this loophole is also making it very clear to the rest of us -- that use a tax software (me) or ‘claim’ we have an accountant that used to work for the IRS -- YOU ARE NOT A MARTIAN.  For us regular people, remember invest in yourself, diversify your life, and let’s change the game.

Link: ProPublica - IRS Non-Crackdown

Investing Themes for 2020

Please remember, I primarily use a data driven approach to investing.  I like to review data and events that were successful in the past and use those patterns to see if they will be successful in the future. This helps me take the emotion out of my investing. To further reinforce this I tend to set up trade alerts and purchases when I am doing my research and analysis – these are set well in advance of buying a stock so I often don’t know: a. what date I will purchase a stock (if at all) + b. why I liked the stock so much (so I take notes or blog about its potential to serve as a reminder). I also try to see if a theme is emerging from my data (so I can hammer the trend further with even deeper analysis) and I corroborate my thesis by trying to see if my Billionaire buddies (Ray Dalio, Mario Gabelli, Warren Buffett, David Tepper, Carl Icahn, David Einhorn, etc.) have mentioned these themes whenever they speak on TV or at conferences.

·          Streaming Media + Sports + Gambling

o    Media - So you want to play the streaming craze. The trend starts with high flying stocks like Google (think YouTube), Netflix and Roku. Then add Disney if you like Hulu (yup, Disney owns a large portion of Hulu). But media is now king! Don’t believe me, please watch the amazing series – The Godfather of Harlem on Epix. This is a great example that content will likely win the war…so go out and buy the content media companies that Netflix is paying top dollars to be able to stream their shows. 

o    Sports - It’s no secret that for live TV, sports is the last game in town. Revenue deals with sports teams are through the roof as new social media companies fight regular cable companies to offer live sports. Don’t believe just check out Hulu ridiculous commercials stating “Hulu Has Live Sports”. Next, get paid for something you love doing – watching sports. Do me a great favor and compile a list of all of the sports companies that are public companies. Trust, it’s cool to say you’re an owner and it makes the season a lot more interesting when you invest in shares of a sports franchise. I keep a mental list of a few sports teams that I know are public: Manchester United, Atlanta Braves, New York Knicks

o    Gambling – If the economy is doing so well, why are states scrambling for your gambling dollars.  States all across America are rushing for the 21^st century gold mine – Gambling. Casinos are Sport Betting no longer taboo. With the likes of FanDuel, DraftKings, and your local casinos offering mobile and physical sportsbooks, respectively state are raking in dollars. Many more states will follow the trend and the industry is already noticing the trend of bets being placed on mobile phone within a 15 mile radius of state lines where gambling is not offered.  Again the data don’t lie, people are showing they are willing to cross a border just to place a bet on their phone in a state where sport gambling is offered and then they head home.  

·          Cyber + ME + Social Media

o    Cyber: Cybersecurity will continue to be a huge force. Stay tuned for a separate post on stocks in this space and read my previous posts on the names I’ve traded.

o    Social Media Stocks – I have resisted the temptations of being on Instagram, Twitter, and Snapchat – but we’ll see how long the holdout continues. The world is telling you they want the attention to be all about them and what better platforms to scream to the world. So invest in social media companies because people are addicted and until people and possibly the government change the trends I’m seeing it will continue to be consumed. (Don’t believe me: see Apple’s new slow-mo selfie commercials) smh

o    ME – If you notice the consistent theme of what my data analysis is telling me is that people are using more and more things that have addictive qualities: TV binging, Gambling, Sports Betting, Social Media, etc. So the next surprising trend is people buy more things that allow them to look glamorous on social media. There is nothing better than TEETH and makeup. Yup, I’m positive Align Technology and Smile Direct Club are showing up in my research because people want straighter and whiter teeth to FLOSS on social media (no pun intended). Invisalign and Smile Direct are straightening teeth all across America. I was watching something about interesting entrepreneurs and this trend fell right into my lap. The entrepreneur got into the teeth whitening space very early and he attributes much of the success of his very lucrative business to the rise of social media and influencers (funny I thought selling yourself to another person was illegal). Or my small investment in Coty, guess whose cosmetics line they a bought 51% stake in shortly after: Kylie Jenner’s Kylie Cosmetics for roughly $1.2 Billion. Next what’s says, I’m into me better than Pinterest. It is now the 3^rd largest social media platform and it’s nothing more than a visual post-it note telling myself to buy more things for ME. If my thesis is correct and the world is getting more addicted (mainly to itself) this is great for Pinterest and the decline will be seen in church congregations across the world. The final ME investment is being consumed similar to TV, Social Media, Gambling, and Sports Betting -- its Medicinal and Recreational Marijuana. It was a CRIME to lock people up for something that people are lining up and down the streets to participate in legally.  Weed stocks are very volatile but will continue and have made many people rich legally while it funded the criminal justice system coffers (by locking up the so called gangsters) for so many years.  Now states want in on the action, even though there is no universal Federal law allowing the consumption of recreational weed. While there are too many stocks to name, you’ll see a few listed here: Aurora Cannabis, Cronos, Tilray, Canopy Growth, GW Pharmaceuticals, Cresco Labs, Acreage Holdings all play in the marijuana space.

I’m not judging on any of the trends above and will invest where I truly believe the market is going. But while I do, I can personally decide what I will participate in and won’t. So for now I guess you can call me the un-social media, non-gambling, non-smoking, slightly TV binging guy (The Godfather of Harlem, Power, NFL, + NBA) – hey Lil Wayne…maybe I am a Martian too.

Questions on Technology Stocks

I wanted to post my high level thoughts on three technology stocks that I was asked to consider.

Applied Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD) - I am nervous about this stock because they’ve never been able to get over the hump. I tempted to call them a dog with fleas. There is reason to be concerned as the Board of Directors (BOD) canned the CEO because they thought he wasn't built for the next wave in the PC industry… tablets. It is mind boggling that the CEO may not steer the company in the right direction. How hard is the chip sector to understand, smaller devices (phones, tablets, netbooks) is the direction to go.

URB Recommendation – Pass on this pup



Coinstar (NASDAQ: CSTR) - I have really liked this stock for quite a few years now. This one qualifies as one that got away because I liked it back when it was in the $20 range. I won’t take any credit because a friend who is very loyal to Motley Fool uncovered this gem awhile back and has held ever since. Not many realize they are the brains behind Redbox, which everyone seems to be familiar with. There stock recently fell (roughly 25%), I believe out of concern that the company was being squeezed on their margins.

URB Recommendation – Need more research to identify buying opportunity


Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) – I learned from my Napster days if it’s so simple and convenient for people to adopt, then it will be a hit. And Netflix definitely qualifies for this category. I have not used the service but they took off and never looked back. This story definitely qualifies as one that I left get away and I’ve been watching closely. I don’t necessarily like what I see at this point: Plump valuation, hedge funds taking the opposite position, and new competitors popping up everyday. I see this now as a crowded space. They are facing new competition from Hulu, Apple TV, Google TV, DVR's, Redbox, etc.

URB Warning – The Chief Financial Officer (CFO) recently quit, which is strange?!?! Also, when the hedge funds came out shorting and talking bad about the company…the CEO responded….ODD, as CEO don’t you have anything better to do?!?!?

URB Recommendation – More tempted to short this stock, but don’t feel bad about doing nuthin!