Did You Say Narcos...Or Anadarko

Interesting?!? When they interview sports stars, is it odd they often say: "If I could do anything else I would be a rapper.   Then the big NBA game comes on and I see E-40 cheering on Golden State, Drake court side in Toronto, and YG and 2 Chains on the court at the end of Los Angeles games.  Well to take a page from their playbook, investors wanna be both!  My investing game in basketball terms feels like I'm in a zone.  Or maybe more like I'm playing zone...like the defense.  The zone defense is known to be safe or even cautious as it does not require the players to exert a lot of energy when defending but requires you be consistent, diligent, and opportunistic.  I am cautious on the markets as they continue to grind higher.  I still think the business climate (due to the tax cuts) and job hiring is trending up. Further, I think the market will melt up even more IF a deal with China (any deal) gets done.  But I think signs in housing and other areas tells me, the dynasty is almost over.  So what does my zone defense look like?  Well here is a run-down of my zone defense portfolio in Game 5 of a 7 game series:

Coaching (Doc Rivers, Phil Jackson, Lenny Wilkens) - Like the great coaches listed here, I try to remain level headed, even zen like, on where the market currently is. I feel like we are in Game 5 or 6 of a 7 game series. So I'm coaching my team (oops my portfolio) to be ready for the downturn...we don't like being blown out.

Guards (Chris Paul, Damian Lillard) - Like CP3 and Dame, my PG is small but packs a punch! So my point guard is Collectors Universe (CLCT), this is a small cap company that I have been overweight for a VERY long time. And they don't seem to disappoint. They had a bad quarter and Wall Street punished them awhile back dropping them from $30 to eventually below $15. If you've been following us here you'll remember when we picked then up during the recession of 2008 at the $4 dollar level. And for us they mint coins...almost literally and grade "mint-condition" baseball cards and collectibles. So that means steady cash streams coming in, a nice dividend and an appreciating stock.  If you read the previous conference calls, part of the bad quarter was slow China demand and a big time investment in a new corporate HQ. Well guess what, those costs related to the HQ are behind them and the last two quarters have been positive. I picked up more shares after the HQ build-out because for a small cap company I felt it made a difference in their earnings. I like my PG so much that I bought more Collectors and put it in my 401K plan for the long-haul. Cheers to CP3, Lillard and CLCT!!

At the other guard position, I rotate the Young Guns. This group is spring loaded and receiving trade offers as other teams want my players. If this were International football (or what Americans call soccer) these players are hitting the the transfer window, or season where other teams pay top dollar for my players:

Anadarko Petroleum (APK) - I picked on Andarko as Chevron was showing interest and now there is a bidding war that has ensued. And look who jumped into the fray... my mentor Warren Buffet is lending money to Occidental Petroleum to outbid Chevron. If was just announced because some investment firm tracks jets and saw that the Occidental jet flew to Omaha...really who has that much free time!!! The Narcos are circling Anadarko. Looks like my draft pick may get bought out soon.  My guess is Occidental wins out with a sweeter bid and the Buffet brand name (we'll see).

Arconic (ARNC) - An earlier trade fell thru but this player has been working on his skills. Dropping down to about $18, and putting up big numbers by bouncing back to the $22 range. I may be getting suitors coming to the table soon and now they pay more than the $23 range to buy this stud out.

Tesla (TSLA)- Like the Nets Guard De'Angelo Russell, everyone has an opinion. So after the terrible earnings call, I took a chance here. Some may second guess my value call, but along with Ron Baron, and others, I just personally think Tesla is a transformation company that will explode. Mr. Russell who was left for dead...is now a NBA All-Star this year due to his hard work and transformation. For example, I drive a Plug-In Hybrid BMW X5 e40 (fully loaded 😎and 600 mpgs) and trust me the experience is nice, I'm sure the Tesla models are even nicer because they dominate the electric vehicle space.

Qualcomm (QCOM) - When I want to play a savvy veteran, I turn to QCOM. Again some questioned the value here when they were battling Apple the goliath of the tech industry. I wish I would have gave QCOM a bigger contract because they went to Game 7 with Apple and won a $4.5B settlement!! A stock in the mid-50s exploded up into the $80s leaving me happy for the player and bummed I didn't invest even more. What a shocker.

JD.com (JD) - This stock is like a chance on the player suspended for taking performance enhancing drugs, TWICE. First, the tariff issues with China took all the steam out of this stock. Then the 2nd item was the CEO was accused of assault and battery. The stock was hovering around $30 and then tanked into the low 20s. It appears the Minnesota prosecutors did not choose to prosecute after new videos surfaced recently appearing to help the CEOs case.  Now basically breakeven, this player may spring back into Player of the Year discussions if the China negotiations with Trump are finalized.

On the bench: I have one player preparing to pack his bags: Celgene (CELG) - they were acquired and soon we'll part ways with a nice contributor.

And Sprint (S), Sprint keeps getting offers to play overseas for T-Mobile but the FTC (like the stock version of the NBA Commissioner) is telling me that the deal is unfair. Funny he doesn't say that to Verizon or AT&T the biggest cell phone carriers. Let a player get his money Commish?!?!  Approve the deal and let me bask in the glory of my draft pick prowess.

Next time, I will go into my Development League team: Newell Brands (NWL), Stitch Fix (SFIX), and Colony Capital (CLNY)

The Plan - Can the Economy Grow Forever?

I often talk about the Pillars that act as a beacon guiding my life, business, and financial decisions so I like to revisit those from time to time.

                 Urbanomics Pillars: “Spiritual”, “Financial”, “Physical”, and “Mental”

We often preach about balance and diversification in the financial world but how often do people consider this in their day to day loves.

Financial –

I’ve been moving comma’s so don’t start no trouble with me…

I hear you Drake, keep moving those commas. My mission is to do the same while helping people in the process. But before I get started I’d like to remind people of the incident at Starbucks this past week. Can you imagine getting kicked out of a coffee shop just because of the color of your skin…and my response is YES.  Those young gentlemen were having a business meeting, trying to move comma’s but trouble, haters…and risk interrupted their lives.  This is not an isolated incident for many of us so I ask for them to stay strong and rely on their other Pillars for balance and keep pushing forward.  Here are my views on all things financial:

Stock Market - Again, you won’t find me writing much about the stock market these days because things are steady. I said a few years ago, when Mohammed El-Erian described this economic period that we are in as the “New Normal”, that I thought we would continue to bump along higher and higher coming out of the near depression period of 2008. So the goal has been to find amazing stocks at discounted values and when they rise, part way above your target level...part ways with them.  Why because we are in the 9^th YEAR of an economic rally (soon to be the longest in history). I’ve learned over time from Mohamed, Warren Buffett, and others to try to keep it simple. So find stocks you like, determine what is the ideal price you would buy it at…sometimes take another 5% of that number and wait to see what happens J

Remember Lululemon recommended in the 40s, Apple in the 90s, Alibaba in the 80s, Caterpillar in the 80s, Manchester United @ 14 if not use the search tool and track these old friends of mine down. I still holding Apple, Alibaba, and Manchester United as core holdings and am learning how to protect these holdings as they've appreciated nicely. So to the many people that say growth has dominated the market in recent years I agree but I remind them…for me it’s the long game and how much you bought something for and amazing even a few growth stocks like Apple and Alibaba will fall into your lap.

And for the people that trust in the process, support others, call out injustice when they see, and pay it forward here’s what I’ve been trading.  It’s my way of giving back…my free and very simple knowledge. A chart is included below and simply represents prices where I’ve had success trading these stocks over the last three to six months. The Column on the left are shares I've owned and traded options in. The column on the right I’ve just traded options only. The asterisk means I still own the stock:

Note: Please find the correct spelling for Qorvo 

More to come on how I'm planning for the future (real estate, biz development, taxes) as the soon to be longest economic rally history WON"T last forever. And yes...I was channeling Drake’s hit song God’s Plan when I was developing this post and was equally inspired by Kendrick Lamar and Jay-Z’s recent projects and social consciousness. Many blessing to them and to you all.  And if you haven’t seen the video, of course I recommend that you check it out here: