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Showing posts with label JD. Show all posts
Showing posts with label JD. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 25, 2020

Charting a Path of Firsts

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans
How to Open My First Brokerage Account
Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)
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Black History
I truly believe to be great you need a strong understanding of the past. To be legendary, you must chart a path that has not been taken or is fraught with obstacles. I was reviewing a statistic that truly blew my mind -- One Hundred and Fifty years after the US named it's first African-American senator (Hiram Revels) only 9 other African-Americans have been nominated to that post since then.  Why?  This Can't Be Possible?

In the era where I hear about corporate and government initiatives to Lean-In further and to focus on Diversity and Inclusion, I wonder why asymmetric numbers like this exist -- not only in our US legislature but also in our college ranks, corporate executive ranks, and across profit and non-for profit board ranks.  People ask: "Do kids know?" and the simple answer is yes. I knew that disparities existed in life that no one wanted to talk about -- except through not so helpful methods of the real world: a) scared straight lecture in Middle School (told look left and right only 1 of us would make it); b) being harassed by police right AFTER participating in Big Brothers/Big Sisters charity event with my little mentee (a charity event I posted about here over 10 years ago); c) glass ceilings I observed at work when you can count the number executives of color with your fingers and toes.  While the cool buzzword is to blast through ceilings, the truth is these institutions so well entrenched that many people cannot simply blast through this road alone, they need help...a different path.

I argue you need to chart a path that goes around the status quo. A diversified path that gives you OPTIONALITY -- options when glass ceilings rise. Like Hiram Revels, the first US African-American senator, you can learn from his path to Washington in 1870.  His opponnents challenged his ability to serve as a Senator because Dred Scott (a case that determined African-Americans were NOT citizens) was only overturned a few years before. Prior to that roadblocks back then forbade the ordained minister from "preaching" and "teaching" people that looked like him.  Revels was recruited to run for the Senate because of his education, influence, and awareness of the real-world that surrounded him.

He is showing you a path -- Education, Build influential relations, and solidify your core pillars that I write about here to be more self-aware of the real-world that surrounds you with obstacles no matter what your race, color, or creed is.  Reduce your debt, live within your means, diversify your income streams, education gives you options.

Alibaba + JD.com
One way that I have diversified my portfolio is by increasing my exposure to Chinese stocks. To some this may sound scary as you often hear the numbers and data cannot be trusted that come out of China. I won't allow my portfolio to suffer from the same mistakes I see in policy that I noted above. My journey of wanting to own businesses in mainland China started through my research of high-flying technology companies. First I stumbled upon Baidu, dubbed the Google of China. I sought out the feedback of a former colleague who was from China and he acknowledged that it was his preferred site, along with many others.  When it came time to invest in Baidu, I was scared and didn't go through with the investment. I watched Baidu take off soon after I vowed to participate as others came along. That's how I found Alibaba (BABA), the Chinese version of Amazon. I would occasionally follow articles of the charismatic leader Jack Ma and as you can see in my previous posts, I pulled the trigger on BABA. I was able to get shares very close to IPO price, or the price when if first became a public company on the stock market ($80 dollar range). My only dismay is that I didn't load up back that as BABA trades for roughly $200 today. So I set my sites out for the next high flier, JD.com (JD). JD.com is in my opinion like the little brother to BABA because it is also in the e-commerce space and also growing fast. Oddly, the Trump Administration's trade war with China depressed my investment in JD for much of last year to the point it made my worst trades of 2018. But I recognized the importance China plays in the overall global economy and once the trade war tariffs were essentially rolled back to something much less meaningful -- JD has taken off from my initial range of $30 to now settling in around $40.  I will be looking to add to both of these positions that I own, BABA in preferably $160 range (it ain't going back to $80) and JD on any meaningful pull back I find.

Be Great   Be Thoughtful   Be Diversified    Always Have Optionality

Thursday, May 02, 2019

Did You Say Narcos...Or Anadarko

Interesting?!? When they interview sports stars, is it odd they often say: "If I could do anything else I would be a rapper.   Then the big NBA game comes on and I see E-40 cheering on Golden State, Drake court side in Toronto, and YG and 2 Chains on the court at the end of Los Angeles games.  Well to take a page from their playbook, investors wanna be both!  My investing game in basketball terms feels like I'm in a zone.  Or maybe more like I'm playing zone...like the defense.  The zone defense is known to be safe or even cautious as it does not require the players to exert a lot of energy when defending but requires you be consistent, diligent, and opportunistic.  I am cautious on the markets as they continue to grind higher.  I still think the business climate (due to the tax cuts) and job hiring is trending up. Further, I think the market will melt up even more IF a deal with China (any deal) gets done.  But I think signs in housing and other areas tells me, the dynasty is almost over.  So what does my zone defense look like?  Well here is a run-down of my zone defense portfolio in Game 5 of a 7 game series:

Coaching (Doc Rivers, Phil Jackson, Lenny Wilkens) - Like the great coaches listed here, I try to remain level headed, even zen like, on where the market currently is. I feel like we are in Game 5 or 6 of a 7 game series. So I'm coaching my team (oops my portfolio) to be ready for the downturn...we don't like being blown out.

Guards (Chris Paul, Damian Lillard) - Like CP3 and Dame, my PG is small but packs a punch! So my point guard is Collectors Universe (CLCT), this is a small cap company that I have been overweight for a VERY long time. And they don't seem to disappoint. They had a bad quarter and Wall Street punished them awhile back dropping them from $30 to eventually below $15. If you've been following us here you'll remember when we picked then up during the recession of 2008 at the $4 dollar level. And for us they mint coins...almost literally and grade "mint-condition" baseball cards and collectibles. So that means steady cash streams coming in, a nice dividend and an appreciating stock.  If you read the previous conference calls, part of the bad quarter was slow China demand and a big time investment in a new corporate HQ. Well guess what, those costs related to the HQ are behind them and the last two quarters have been positive. I picked up more shares after the HQ build-out because for a small cap company I felt it made a difference in their earnings. I like my PG so much that I bought more Collectors and put it in my 401K plan for the long-haul. Cheers to CP3, Lillard and CLCT!!

At the other guard position, I rotate the Young Guns. This group is spring loaded and receiving trade offers as other teams want my players. If this were International football (or what Americans call soccer) these players are hitting the the transfer window, or season where other teams pay top dollar for my players:

Anadarko Petroleum (APK) - I picked on Andarko as Chevron was showing interest and now there is a bidding war that has ensued. And look who jumped into the fray... my mentor Warren Buffet is lending money to Occidental Petroleum to outbid Chevron. If was just announced because some investment firm tracks jets and saw that the Occidental jet flew to Omaha...really who has that much free time!!! The Narcos are circling Anadarko. Looks like my draft pick may get bought out soon.  My guess is Occidental wins out with a sweeter bid and the Buffet brand name (we'll see).

Arconic (ARNC) - An earlier trade fell thru but this player has been working on his skills. Dropping down to about $18, and putting up big numbers by bouncing back to the $22 range. I may be getting suitors coming to the table soon and now they pay more than the $23 range to buy this stud out.

Tesla (TSLA)- Like the Nets Guard De'Angelo Russell, everyone has an opinion. So after the terrible earnings call, I took a chance here. Some may second guess my value call, but along with Ron Baron, and others, I just personally think Tesla is a transformation company that will explode. Mr. Russell who was left for dead...is now a NBA All-Star this year due to his hard work and transformation. For example, I drive a Plug-In Hybrid BMW X5 e40 (fully loaded 😎and 600 mpgs) and trust me the experience is nice, I'm sure the Tesla models are even nicer because they dominate the electric vehicle space.

Qualcomm (QCOM) - When I want to play a savvy veteran, I turn to QCOM. Again some questioned the value here when they were battling Apple the goliath of the tech industry. I wish I would have gave QCOM a bigger contract because they went to Game 7 with Apple and won a $4.5B settlement!! A stock in the mid-50s exploded up into the $80s leaving me happy for the player and bummed I didn't invest even more. What a shocker.

JD.com (JD) - This stock is like a chance on the player suspended for taking performance enhancing drugs, TWICE. First, the tariff issues with China took all the steam out of this stock. Then the 2nd item was the CEO was accused of assault and battery. The stock was hovering around $30 and then tanked into the low 20s. It appears the Minnesota prosecutors did not choose to prosecute after new videos surfaced recently appearing to help the CEOs case.  Now basically breakeven, this player may spring back into Player of the Year discussions if the China negotiations with Trump are finalized.

On the bench: I have one player preparing to pack his bags: Celgene (CELG) - they were acquired and soon we'll part ways with a nice contributor.

And Sprint (S), Sprint keeps getting offers to play overseas for T-Mobile but the FTC (like the stock version of the NBA Commissioner) is telling me that the deal is unfair. Funny he doesn't say that to Verizon or AT&T the biggest cell phone carriers. Let a player get his money Commish?!?!  Approve the deal and let me bask in the glory of my draft pick prowess.

Next time, I will go into my Development League team: Newell Brands (NWL), Stitch Fix (SFIX), and Colony Capital (CLNY)