Stock Ticker

Stocks use a Ticker or an abbreviation to allow you to quickly find them. Facebook (Ticker: FB), Apple (Ticker: AAPL), Netflix (Ticker: NFLX), Alphabet (we know it as Google, Ticker: GOOG), Microsoft (Ticker: MSFT). Ticker Tape Provided by Macroaxis

Search URBANOMICS

Friday, August 04, 2023

IT GOES DOWN IN THE DM - Avid Technology (NASDAQ:AVID)

 

IT GOES DOWN IN THE DM - Avid Technology (NASDAQ:AVID) 


I usually hate that technology is always watching or should I say listening to what you're doing. In a recent episode of "Billions", they were covering the subject of wire taps. There were strict rules of what you could listen to and where you could listen. The bedroom was off limits and also if a lawyer was present ---listening is a no-no. 

Things that may you go hmmm --- we have strict rules for wiretaps but not for the proliferation of devices listening to people all day in their homes and in their bedrooms.

But it's Friday, I'm not gonna be too cranky because there is the occasional positive use case of computers watching our every move. OCCASIONALLY, they add something to my feed that I really find of use. That happened last night, I believe. In my feed was Reuters story about it reminded me that "Investors never sleep". So, as I was in bed, I took screenshots of the article so I could evaluate trades the next morning. I hope you're listening -- the Early Bird Gets the Worm.

Here were some of those details:

2 companies, Symphony Technology Group & Francisco Partners, just jumped in the Direct Messages (DMs) of and Avid Technology (NASDAQ:AVID). You chose the analogy but I liken it to:

- 2 sports teams looking to sign a player on the market

- 2 people looking to date the same person

- 2 people haggling over the same car

What this means is "usually" the price is going to go up until someone walks away. Time for me to quote Fat Joe:

#yesterdayspriceisnottodaysprice

This is one way I keep investing, simple straightforward and fun. Now the harder part is at what price point and how do you setup the trade? The funny thing is MANY years ago I traded Avid but I don't think it was profitable, I'll need to go back and read my own blog this weekend to see. Peace out its Friday!

QUOTE PRICE:



Tuesday, August 01, 2023

The Art of Negotiation - Know Your Worth | Leverage | Optionality

   

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans


How to Open My First Brokerage Account

Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)

HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:
                             

                       
Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:





THE ART OF NEGOTIATION

Hello and happy Tuesday. It's cliche but it's August and we all wonder where has the time gone. So I want to drop a little bit of knowledge in how I negotiate deals. As of this writing, my technology security company has signed a number of contractual deals with corporate entities in the past few years. We provide security solutions that help them better secure their organizations. The hardest part is getting your foot in the door and speaking to new clients but right after that the most difficult thing is negotiating terms of a deal. I find it very odd that this is not something that is taught in schools and is something I advocate for people that work and train with me. If you look back at my blogging history, I've been a HUGE advocate for college and even high school athletes to get paid. You could probably go back 10 or 15 years ago and see my posts on this subject. I was so surprised when I would communicate my thoughts on this subject how many people, mainly men, across different demographics argued that players should not be paid. 

I used this interaction as a case study in systemic systems and unfortunately this one includes race when it came to playing college athletes. Remember, I spoke to young, old, and men of different races and a majority of the time they stated college players don't deserve to get paid -- they often defaulted the school is paying for their education. The reason why I called this practice systemic is because even though most of these discussions resulted in the person across from me agreeing with my evidence, they found it easy to fall back to what is status quo.

When I consult for my clients, I follow a few simple mantras. You can't hit what you can't see (Visibility). You can't solve a problem you can't quantify (Measure). You can't solve a problem you if you don't take action (Solve).  My opps (as the young folks say today) didn't stop to find contextual data of the argument I was making. Here was my point:

Visibility: There was not a proliferation of data involved when my opps would fall back to their status quo position. They didn't often state that a majority of the players in college football and basketball are African American. 

Measure: They didn't measure or take into consideration the rate at which these players 'make it to the pros' or go on to play at a professional level to earn a living. According to the National Collegiate Athletic Association: 1 in 2,451 men's high school basketball players will be drafted by a National Basketball Assocation team. 

They didn't measure the dramatic increase in youth leagues, parents spending insane amounts of money for these leagues, or the impact this drive has on families. What's the cost of obsessed parents who lose track of time spent, neglect to their spouse and other kids, or even missed school.

Solve: I don't claim to have all the answers but if we want to teach families and kids true economics we can start with sports:  

1. Many kids play sports for the love of the game. So, consider youth sports a sunk cost: Set a budget and define up front what you'll spend and how much time kids should dedicate to sports. There is always a cost but start with the basics, what's wrong with kids in a neighborhood league playing each other every week just for the fun of it. The business of travel sports and super youth complexes is just that a BUSINESS.

2. I often quote Shark Tank "If after a few years, you're not making money from it -- it's just a hobby". Well said Mr. Wonderful! Sports should be a hobby until someone is profiting from you. When they begin profiting from you pay you need a piece of that pie. Nothing is more American, Capitalistic, or dare I say fair. 

3. My go to silencer of my opps was a simple comparison to other sports. I knew for a fact that youth can turn pro and be paid as professionals in Tennis, Golf, Baseball, and other sports that were traditionally dominated by white players. I found it strange that my opps discarded this fact and suddenly were allergic to sports where African American youth dominated in participation. 

If the Fab 5 (Jalen Rose, Juwan Howard, and company) could literally turn around the University of Michigan's basketball program and profit to the tune of billions of dollars, should they NOT have benefitted in those gains? Should college football not compensate a star player that packed stands for years and then suddenly suffers a tragic injury? Should college sports profit from these amateur players knowing that the percentages are miniscule that most won't make it to the professional levels? Should a player not be able to market himself, if not is he "property" and who owns him?


Let's fast forward and it's beautiful to see athletes in college getting paid via their Name, Image, and Likeness or often called NIL deals. Last time I checked these students are not property owned by someone. I passionately watch Overtime Elite (OTE) which is a league that pays high school, yes I said high school players $100K a year to play in it's league. The chance to earn from your skill is the LEVERAGE you need to take advantage in determining your WORTH. You can't just show up you must provide skills someone values. Clearly the audiences VALUE these players and a lot of money is being made. Finally, I respectfully remind the players to have OPTIONALITY. Similar to what I learned in sports applies to like -- you must be a triple threat! Because your athletic skills will diminish and you must always remember what THEY, your opps think of you. 

I close with this caption from the disheartening treatment of Jonathan Taylor, the star running back of the Indianapolis Colts. Look closely at what the owner Jim Irsay says. Take into account, that Jonathan Taylor is the BEST player on this team. If you don't have optionality in LIFE, you will be simply looked at as property and stuck to unfavorable terms you may have to accept. I have the most euphoric feeling when I negotiate terms for myself and consultants -- "At the end of the day, I can walk away from the table and say no thanks". I also strangely find is less disruptive when I accept less than favorable terms in a deal -- "I signed that deal and if I don't like it I can terminate the deal (based on the terms I agreed upon).

I don't have any beef with what Jim Irsay is saying because it's just business. But I do know my opps and my job is to use my leverage and optionality to get the best deal -- because I do know after that contract is done, life goes on. Fortunately, nowadays my skill is my mind, and I am missed by my clients who call back but that will not always be the case. Here is that quote that sparked this post:

Per James Boyd of The Athletic, Jim Irsay said: “If I die tonight and Jonathan Taylor is out of the league, no one’s gonna miss us,” “The league goes on. We know that. The National Football (League) rolls on. It doesn’t matter who comes and who goes, and it’s a privilege to be a part of it.”

#knowyourworth #leverage #optionality

Thursday, July 27, 2023

It Goes Down in the DM -- Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI)

  

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans


How to Open My First Brokerage Account

Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)

HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:
                             

                       
Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:





ACTIVISION BLIZZARD INC

Hello everyone, I hope you're enjoying a good summer. I've been laying low from the stock market as you guys have previously read. Some may say I've missed out on this year's rise in stocks and that is partially true. Many people don't know that the market has actually risen as a result of primary 7 stocks that have been very hot because of the latest buzzword AI - Artificial Intelligence. So if you've owned NVIDIA, MICROSOFT, META PLATFORMS (formerly FACEBOOK), APPLE, ALPHABET (aka GOOGLE), AMAZON, TESLA then you've done very well this year, however; all other stocks have just done BLAH. 

So I've opted for the slow and less risky approach while the government tries to still cool down what has been referred to as an overheating economy. As interest rates have gone up, I've focused more on taking advantage of those increased interest rates to collect 4 to 5% on the cash I'm sitting on in my retirement and personal bank accounts. I have stayed invested in investment account, but I've not been overly active. So what has worked for me:


I've continued to rely on my Mansa Musa network of friends. If you're not sure what this network is about, just run a search on my blog and get familiar with this approach. When there is uncertainty in the air, I believe in strength in numbers and invest with friends. Just over a year ago my 93-year-old buddy Warren Buffett started buying shares in Activision Blizzard. 

It Goes Down in the DM - Activision

I watched patiently after Microsoft slid into Activision DMs in January 2022 to the tune of $69 billion to hook up. As Buffett saw they were willing to 'put a ring on it', his company bought roughly 50 million. When we invest in companies hooking up, we hope they make it all the way to the alter. If you're a sports person, we hope the trade for the star player goes through. Two things subsequently happened that may me want to jump on board:

Back in May 2022, the stock market was falling and there was rumblings that these two were not going to make it to the alter. The trade might get cancelled. In the stock world, it's usually because US and international governments have to bless the deal to ensure it's not anticompetitive. This is like your parents blessing your marriage or the owners blessing the trade. This blessing was getting pushback in the US and UK. So there was VALUE as the stock dropped. What did I do, I decided to gamble with my Mansa Musa buddy Warren Buffet. I jumped in at the range of $69 - $75 a share.

I don't play poker but I and Warren Buffett were making a bet that the merger (aka hook up) would go through. If it did...if they made it to the alter the predetermined buyout price would be $95 a share. I like simplicity sometimes when I invest and I thought I was getting a discount on a great stock which I don't mind owning. The bonus or side bet is if this great stock gets the blessing to get married - then I get the guaranteed upside to $95 a share. In short Activision's stock should rise as long as Microsoft gets the blessing of it's parents (in the form of governments across the world). This got nasty like Real Housewives and went to court in the US, but the blessing finally happened. What happened to my simple thesis from over a year ago. 

Don't believe me, well go back look for yourself:



Where is Activision now:


Sunday, March 05, 2023

Follow The Money - Why Companies Are Demanding Remote Workers Return to the Office

  

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans


How to Open My First Brokerage Account

Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)

HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:
                             

                       
Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:





As the owner of a small but growing technology consulting and staffing company, I have some insight and visibility into workplace trends. I often find myself using the tools and techniques that I share with you on investing in the business world. For example, I try to track certain trends related to cybersecurity job openings. One of my most prescient calls a few years ago was shared in an email blast that I posted to my job network. The call was the rise of the remote job openings. While I had made the shift to full remote work about five years ago, I noticed and commented on the increasing rise of remote work. If I get a chance I will post and share that email newsletter from a few years ago. I personally believe that trend has triggered employer productivity, employee flexibility, and a less biased playing field. I can provide myself and few other consultants that have worked with and for me as a "use case". We have contributed to an increased amount of workplace productivity as I often have a more difficult time turning work off. A sad example would be the fact that I check my workplace laptop as I pass by office during my off hours. I tend to justify my increased workload by fairly noting that working remote has increased my family flexibility. For the first time in my adult life, I found relief in being able to go to the post office, put laundry in the washer, get my kids from daycare timely, grab the groceries, and occasionally cut the grass during my lunch break. These were things that were only left for after work evenings and weekends. Finally, I also found that working remotely has increased the pool of employers that needed my skillset, exposed me to better pay wages, and I feel I didn't have to some aspects of racism in the corporate world. While, I know many interviewers will check my LinkedIn account and do a Google search, I've finally shifted the tide and feel like I can control my narrative a bit. I don't have a huge presence on the internet and it's politically incorrect to ask for me to add you to my LinkedIn profile -- so I personally believe I'm being evaluated on my resume, interview skills and experience, with less of the biases the office culture. Many people don't realize a previous trend that saw corporate offices move to suburbs in mass droves. What this silently meant was city dwellers (often younger adults) and minority communities often dealt with the burden of longer commutes. I personally lived is a large metro city and when I bought my home, I chose a majority minority enclave of the city. It was perfect! My neighbors were: multiple lawyers, multiple doctors, multiple police and law enforcement persons, and members of academia. They were all minorities and lived in my building. This was home, this was comfort, this was the dream. But my move also now meant a longer commute as my company had no presence in the city as it was located in a less populous and diverse suburb. Instead of companies understanding this burden being placed on its workforce, I was a betting prop in my department. One of my colleagues openly acknowledged, years later, they were surprised I did not move or change jobs after I made my first home purchased. What is a logical idea, is illogical in a world where most corporations are not setup in minority communities. The blessing in disguise has been an older graying workforce that is causing and FORCING employers to finally listen. The younger workers being interviewed started declining job offers at my company which finally caused them to open a city office location where we could work from. Imagine that -- overnight my commute was cut my more that half and my commute options doubled. I was even being exposed to a healthier lifestyle as I often has to walk from the bus or train stop to my office. The rise of WeWork and younger workers demanding more flexibility has been a game changer.

So let's fast forward to the trends I am seeing today. I have seen a sharp increase in the last 3-6 months of job opening demanding that workers be "Onsite from Day 1" to a term called "hybrid". This means that the worker may be in the office 3 out of 5 days a week. I went from interviewing and filling job roles a rapid clip, to know a grind of potential new hires asking me is this job really in the office and me constantly confirming with recruiters. I've often taught you all here to do one thing when you usually get to the bottom of an increasing trend and that's to Follow the Money. So, I wasn't surprised when I read a recent article citing that one of the main reasons companies are requiring workers to return to the office is due to financial reasons. The commercial real estate industry, jobs that support those commercial districts and even the tax breaks that have been negotiated with corporations all top the list of reasons why grey-haired males leading Corporate American firms are rallying around strong statements demanding workers return. While I do understand that some job roles and an increased corporate culture stand to gain from being onsite, I personally have stated I will not return to onsite work. Now I can take a stance like that because I'm established in my career, have diversified my income and follow the Pillars that I write about here, what will be interesting is if the younger generation and other on the fence can win the battle of remote work.

Don't believe me, just read. The following article from Bloomberg, shares some context on how tax breaks are pushing employers to demand workers return to the office:
Source: Bloomberg


Friday, March 03, 2023

Dealing with The Inevitable

  

Investing In Yourself – Using Pillars to Build Your Core
Setting Budgets + Saving for Black Swans


How to Open My First Brokerage Account

Diversify your Life (Mind, Body, Soul, + Investments)

HOW TO SEARCH MY BLOG:
                             

                       
Get Updates to Your Email When I Create A New Post:





Dealing with Loss -- Take Time to Heal

This post is a reminder to live your life, take care of others, and make memories. I heard a phrase before that we are all just passing through and that hit home this week. This week was a very difficult week as I have lost people that I've made memories with. I lost my cousin, who was literally the reflection of sunshine in her bright yellow dress at my wedding. A quiet soul, who lit up a room figuratively and literally with her smile, confidence, and style. To my cousin - may you rest in peace and look over us. I'll think of you especially on those bright sunny days and picture you in that sharp yellow dress, smiling down on us.

To my college friend. I'll forever remember the long talks we shared. Young men trying to find our way and shaping plans for our future. The ambitions of being entrepreneurs and somehow you even talked me into selling telecom phone plans and pagers. A man that had a spark that could bring people together and make them feel comfortable.  Please rest easy and thank you for the many talks and adventures. 

To all of us who've lost loved ones, they will be missed. I pray for everyone's continued strength.

Saturday, December 17, 2022

Expiring December Trades - Summary of Value Trades [JOE|MANU|FNF|TDOC|THS|MU]

This year was filled with many highs. The biggest is we welcome a bouncing baby boy a few months ago!! I apologize for not posting as frequently but I've been running my cyber company and we doubled our revenue last year and we are closing out this year, 3X what we did last year. 

So, I often shared my pillars with you all -- if you don't recall them -- use the search bar for the term "pillars". I've had to prioritize time for family and the business deals that bring us the most benefit. My stock portfolio has taken a back seat but that doesn't mean I do not still trade. For your reference, many of these stock trades were placed months ago, based on theme of what I think will happen OR based on companies that I think offer value (search my 50c candy bar views). See my summary below for why I made these trades and whether they panned out. 

 I'm headed to a Board meeting shortly but here are my December trades:



Summary of Trades


THE ST. JOE COMPANY (JOE)

MANCHESTER UNITED PLC (MANU)

FIDELITY NATIONAL FINANCIAL, INC. (FNF)

Teladoc Health, Inc. (TDOC)

TREEHOUSE FOODS, INC. (THS)

MICRON TECHNOLOGY, INC. (MU)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

My next post will discuss what I'm doing going into the end of the year. Stay tuned for what we call tax loss harvesting. When you've had a great year, usually with short term trades like I have it offers me a chance to get rid of some of the underperformers in my portfolio.

Friday, October 21, 2022

Margin of Safety Leads to Big Time Gains - Micron | Snap | Dave Busters | Roblox | Zoom Media

 Hello and a very happy Friday to all. It has been a busy, very busy and blessed year so far. As I mentioned in my last post, I welcome my first son and our last child to this world. So many prayers and blessings for him as he enters this amazing world. I'm watching my kids, my businesses, my friendships, and my mind grow --- and it makes me smile. My goal is to stay positive and push positivity out into the world but being that I specialize in 'risk management' I still find myself constantly trying to create moats to protect that things that are most important to me. We'll delve more into this topic into the future, but I'm curious how do you think about creating moats and protecting things you value? 

I'll take this topic of protection and spin it back to my investments. I will not lie to you 2022 -- has been a year of minimal investments on my part. The first reason is my technology business has been growing leaps and bounds so I've focused my energy here. Secondly, you'll recall that I began to get very cautious on the markets last year and into early this year. I was a bit slow but look back and read, I moved my entire retirement funds out of stocks. I'm not trying to time the market per se, but I am trying to create a moat. Game of Thrones analogy --- If you see a dragon coming, I think you should get out of the way. As some of the investors in my Mansa Musa network have mentioned and I have tried to share -- when the Federal Reserve is raising rates, you better get out of the way. Now to be transparent, my personal stock account is still active and for the most part I am completely exposed to stocks. So I've taken the SAME losses as you -- and anyone who tells you they haven't lost money is basically lying, I call CAP, as they say nowadays.

So how do I change my strategy:

1) I slow down my investing and research more (Example: If you can't pass the test of if I can $10K would I put it all in one stock -- then don't buy the stock)

2) I create a bigger moat, or cushion for loss. (Example: If I like Snap at $8 - I think $7 in this environment is better cushion

3) Don't rush to trade quickly -- Like love, there is no need to be in a hurry.

Here are my trades for October. Many of these were made months ago. The important thing to notice is I got the amount of cushion right. I'll leave you with SNAP. I bought SNAP when the stock plummeted, then is moved up nicely and now they just recently reported earning and plummeted again. The good thing was I bought in with margin of safety (i.e., moat or cushion) that allowed me to withstand all that volatility).

Finally - Don't gawk at the wins, because every trade and every month does NOT turn out like this. But the goal is to try and achieve consistency like this.



Peace and love to and more lessons to come.

#Urbanomics #getthebag #Micron #Snap #DaveandBusters #ZoomMedia #Moat #marginosaftey