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Showing posts with label revealed. Show all posts
Showing posts with label revealed. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

TESLA - MY BEAUTIFUL DARK TWISTED INVESTMENT

TESLA #2 IN 2019

Kanye West's "My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy" was named the album of the decade. And being a hip hop head I struggled with this designation until I recently revisited the album. Why did I hesitate to recognize the greatness of this album?  Well considering Mainstream Media gave this designation without consulting me...I did consider the source at some point they missed the target (Kendrick Lamar gets a strong nod for the crown). I think it is because of how polarizing Kanye West has become. It's hard to discuss him without someone having a strong opinion so I've drifted away from his music.  

How does this tie into my blog, investments, and my 2nd best performing stock of 2019 (Note: Symantec's last minute run pushed Tesla out of the #1 spot). Simple, Elon Musk and Tesla remind me of Kanye West.  Elon is one of the most polarizing people on the planet and his technology for a gas guzzling American culture is NOT far behind. I drive a plug-hybrid SUV (600+ miles per fill up) and I think my Midwestern state is purposefully taxing me extra for putting a fuel efficient car on the road through an electric vehicle tax I paid to register the car. Like Kanye, if you get caught up in Elon's antics you forget the greatness of his mind.

This year in March, I witnessed a polarizing discussion around Elon Musk tweeting about Tesla. I had not followed the stock much because it usually trades in a nose-bleed range of $300 to $400 dollars for one share of stock.  The SEC and Musk were going back and forth in the news about how his tweets could impact the stock and Musk was not shy is his feelings about the SEC.  

March 19 2019 - I believe the SEC held Elon in contempt for not having the company pre-approve tweets that could materially move the stock. I know it sounds childish, like Kanye taking the mic from Taylor swift, but this was somewhat serious and putting pressure on the stock. I decided to stake a claim on the side of genius because at the end of the day the electrification of cars is pure genius and actually is a business that can make help improve our planet.

April 2019 - Around the end of April, I have 25th in my notes Tesla was having an annual shareholder's meeting. I had my if it wasn't broke don't fix it moment and invested again. Elon discussed that the issue plaguing Tesla isn't a demand issue (the Media and Analysts were saying demand was waning for Tesla's). In fact, he said noted that orders and sales for the Model S, X, and 3 were ahead of production...which likely means there is a backlog developing (good for business) and an opportunity for them to produce and deliver a new record amount of cars. Kind of like how people keep by Yeezy's I guess.

July 2019 - Around the 11th, Tesla had to report earnings again  I dipped my toe into Tesla waters again as the picture being painted was they were figuring it out. Elon was sleeping on the production floor this year, burnt out but hell bent on figuring out how to produce more cars each week. I remember when they could barely produce 5,000 cars in a week. Earnings was a mixed picture which was in-line with my thesis: I just don't need Tesla to crater.

October 2019 - Yes, I traded Tesla yet again. They have stayed focus and were rewarded with an earnings record. They jumped by the largest amount in 6 years on increased production and better margins. What had analysts been knocking them on...margins. Like Kanye, I don't always agree with many of the things he does but one can argue the music and his drive for fashion is genius.  Tesla I believe is a game-changer as an investment, its good for our planet, and the pressure it's putting on the auto industry. There are a few people not afraid to compliment the strangeness of this company like my buddy Ron Baron and a lady that I occasionally hear on CNBC. When I remember her name I will add it here.  With the #2 spot, thanks Elon, the SEC, and the pioneers who plop down a deposit on one of the models. 

Let's Have a Toast to the...

Hope you enjoy My Beautiful Dark Twisted Investing Mind!

 

Wednesday, February 06, 2013

THE REVEAL – A FREE VIEW INTO OUR PREMIUM & FREE ALERTS


The Reveal is to give readers a view into my picks or the last few years and how they've performed. I've been often posted (with clues) as to what I'm buying and through my posts you can easily see WHEN I'm buying. A sneak peak is probably more necessary now that my favorite tracking site called “Socialpicks.com” no longer exists.  This site was helpful in the past because it allowed readers to view my free alerts, track my progress, and I even dropped in a few premium alerts from time to time without telling anyone!  But my favorite tracker is no longer so I will be in search of a better one.    

So time for “THE REVEAL”:

In 2011 I started my alert service in response to a number of readers.  You can look to the right of the page to find LINKS to all of the alerts that are posted roughly on a quarterly basis.  I occasionally post a free alert or two there also.  My picks are value driven and are often held for some time.  While they represent value (deeply discounted) picks if they have a catalyst and run up quickly I never mind taking a profit. See the chart below which highlights my performance over the last few years:

Date: February 2011

BUY ALERT
REVEAL
PERFORMANCE
STOCK: ******
HEALTHCARE
BIOTECHNOLOGY & DRUGS
TIP: Ribbon

See 2011 Buy Alert(s):
Alert 1
Alert 2
Stock: AVEO PHARMACEUTICALS 
TICKER: AVEO
Sector: HEALTHCARE
BIOTECHNOLOGY & DRUGS
TIP: Was a reference for cancer, an area of focus for AVEO
Feb 2011 – July 2011

Sell Price: $17-20
Return: 23-49%


What determined this sale price, see this link:
Sale Alert 
STOCK: ******
HEALTHCARE
BIOTECHNOLOGY & DRUGS
TIP: None provided

See 2011 Buy Alert:
Alert 2
STOCK: PDL Biopharma
Ticker: PDLI
Sector: HEALTHCARE
BIOTECHNOLOGY & DRUGS
TIP: None provided

Provided by Yahoo:
Date
Adj Close*
Feb 29, 2011
4.65
Feb 28, 2011
4.61
Feb 2011 – Now??
Current Price: $6.86
Return: 49%
Plus: 8% dividend
Date: March 22, 2011

BUY ALERT
REVEAL
PERFORMANCE
Free Pick:
FHCO Free Pick
STOCK: Female Health CoTicker: FHCO
Provided by Yahoo:

Date
Adj Close*
Mar 23, 2011
4.55
Mar 22, 2011
4.50
Mar – Now?? Current Price: $7.45 
Return: 65% 

Plus: 3% dividend

Date: May 5, 2011

BUY ALERT
REVEAL
PERFORMANCE
Free Pick:
NBL Free Pick
STOCK: Noble EnergyTicker: NBL
Provided by Yahoo:

Date
Adj Close*
May 6, 2011
86.89
May 5, 2011
               86.95
May – Now??Current Price: $113.57
Return: 31%

Plus: 1% dividend

The free picks are easy to follow and amazingly if you still own or held today you would be pretty happy with your returns. Stay tuned, as I begin to release the Premium Picks from 2011 and 2012.

Friday, October 14, 2011

1st Quarter Premium Stock Alert (Revealed)

If you recall in February of this year, I released my first premium subscription alert.  At the time, I  posted an update that gave you a hint into the industry, sector, and specifically the product that this company develops.  The update provided you with the following hints about the stock I was adding to my portfolio:

STOCK: ******
HEALTHCARE
BIOTECHNOLOGY & DRUGS
TIP: Ribbon

Link: http://urbanomics.blogspot.com/2011/02/february-2011-biotechnology-premium.html

If you'd like to find out which stock was picked up by subscribers to the premium service, please continue on and get a complete view of the stock and the performance since the alert went out.