$700 Billion - Wall Street Hits the Jackpot

Yeah Baby!!! That's what I always imagined I would scream if I hit the jackpot in Vegas or if I won the lottery and now that is what Wall Street is screaming. $700 Billion is the amount that Wall Street is looking to claim for their winnings. Now they won't call it winnings but let's try to look at how this situation looks from my perspective. I have sat back, trying to not judge how the situation is being handled and I just want to determine what this means for me as an investor.



As an investor, the first thing that I would say is that a $700B move like this tells me that the Henry Paulson, head of the Treasury department is serious about this issue. It would signal that he believes that liquidity is drying up for financial insitutions and this bailout package allows them to right their balance sheets. My next observation is that if these companies are allowed to remove these toxic assets from their balance sheets they will see a few quarters where these assets will need to be marked down...if Mark to Market Accounting still exists and then they would have sparkling balance sheets with no direction to go but up. This leads to my next conclusion that the best investment for the short term will be the Financial Sector and you will see that through an addition to my STOCK TRACKER PORTFOLIO through the exchange traded fund, UYG.

Since I wrote this post much has changed and I will write from the prespective of Main Street, however this was written from the view of what this bill means to me as an investor.

The Hype

The hype comes in all shapes and forms. For most of us avid Wall Street fans we may read or hear about it through our favorite shows, blogs, or newspapers. And the hype reminds you of the teams like the New England Patriots. A great team that was poised to win it all. Many people overlook the fact that there were a number of games that New England could have and should have lost during the regular season and post season before the let down loss in the Superbowl. A number a games would have told you not to believe the hype like the Indianapolis Colts or New York Giants regular season games that exposed the Patriots. Now lets take a similar view to the market right now. Yes, people are excited because the markets are moving up and the Dow even touched 13,000 recently. But how quickly we forget what brought us to this point. The market is still suffering from the stuff that that gave it upset stomach in the first place. The hype is people like Henry Paulson coming out recently and saying that the market turmoil or upset stomach could soon be over. That's like saying that you can give the markets Pepto and this will all be over. Sorry folks, that is not the case and unemployment is now at levels that mirror the last recession in 2001 and many economists believe that it will continue to deteriorate. The financial markets are still a mess...don't believe me, as Citigroup who is throwing up and selling businesses left and right. And I am sorry for the analogies but I want this point to sink in, the markets are don't with us yet.

I won't change my stance at this point and like most of the stocks that are on our radar or that we have recommended here at Urbanomics. Take Ricks Cabaret (NASDAQ: RICK) which is up rough 13% today, H&R Block (NYSE: HRB) which took out new 52 week highs, and Coinstar (NASDAQ: CSTR) which exploded after their earnings announcement as proof that we are picking timely market plays. Ricks Cabaret is a great small cap stock that probably continues to do well even during a recession catering to big wigs who spend big bucks at their "higher-end" (no pun intended) establishments. And H&R Block should probably be coming of a strong tax season as people are eager to file and qualify for the great tax rebate check that our government came up with to stimulate the economy. It will do one thing and that's stimulate bill paying and retail business. Lastly, Coinstar is doing well after a great earnings season and they are benefitting from increased sales in their DVD kiosk business through a big contract with Walmart. I hope you also love the sector specific plays and REALIZE that high commodity prices are here to stay for awhile. Clayton Williams (NASDAQ: CWEI), AK Steel (NYSE: AKS), the exchange traded fund OIH (AMEX:OIH), and others are all great plays and make you feel a little bit better when you buy gas at the pump or buy something made from steel.

Enjoy the weekend and holla back!