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Tuesday, May 18, 2010

Portfolio Spring Cleaning...

It is technically still spring, right? I know judging from the mid 50 degree weather here in Chicago that this seems about right! Although I have been really busy I am starting to understand my investing habits a little. I think I tend to get more interested in the markets when volatility begins to pick up. This could be it or maybe I am finally drinking my own Kool-Aid and using the volatility to find deeply discounted bargains. Well, lets hope its the latter because I have been tuning in alot more lately. I continue to write about the extraordinary run that we've been on lately. It started earlier in the year when one of our largest holdings was liquidated due to a buyout of Burlington Northern Santa Fe (NYSE: BNI). I felt good here because we owned this position for almost two years, and held strong (thanks to the dividend) through the downturn and watched the company get bought out by Berkshire Hathaway.

Next, we've seen positive moves in the stocks we screened so diligently during the market downturn and decided to keep. I've gone with a concentrated portfolio and this has served well since the market stabilized. Besides BNI, my concentrated portfolio includes:

Radisys Corporation (NASDAQ: RSYS) - Largest Position
BNI - Second largest, liquidated
Collectors Universe (NASDAQ: CLCT) Now second largest position.
Visa (NYSE: V) - Liquidated most of this position for a nice gain; Still retain a minor position
Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX) - New, small position

I'll keep beating the drum on RSYS as it went from $4 to now $10. It was a rough ride but we should be seeing some upside as they outsource their production model and grow with new products.

Collectors Universe is easily my second largest holding and has been on an outright tear and we owe thanks to new management cutting costs and reimplementing the dividend. This has brought investors searching for yield running to this stock. It has seen a run also from $4 to now roughly $14 bucks. A recent increase in the dividend yield now it paying out a whooping 30c a share!!! This healthy dividend allows me to continue to grow ownership in the country.

Visa was a classic buy during the downturn as we began accumulating a large amount of shares at roughly the IPO price. This was a no-brainer as the downside risk could not have been much lower than the levels that analysts had expected for a public offering. So at one point V was my fourth largest position behind RSYS, BNI and CLCT, because I had a conviction that V wouldn't slip much further. After a nice return, I sold most of V but retained a small portion which I still hold.

URB Update: Visa is experiencing some downside risk in their stock due to some recent legislation. The CEO recently spoke about the amendments passed in the Senate and the affects they could have. Being in the industry I need to better understand what's in the potential amendment but it seems like there could be some additional regulation around the "interchange" or swipe fees that are paid by merchants. I do believe this could have the most impact in their bottom line because this is how they make their money on a per transaction basis. I think investors are concerned with this and with the fact that a major part of the amendment is limiting the fees around debit and even credit transactions. This part would only impact V if their issues see a significant decrease in volume.

My recommendation is to wait for this legislation to play out. V and other networks will not be impacted as much as issuers are. Keep the stock if you own it and use the dividend to accumulate more of a position. I will be keeping the small position that I own, however for the tracking portfolio I will take some profits.

Boston Scientific - I like this sector but my research shows that there may be too much risk involved in holding this stock. I may look to stay in this sector by finding a stronger company that offers a dividend.

I am exhausted but here are the stocks that I am still watching:
  • Energy Partners
  • Legg Mason
  • Becton Dickinson
  • CapitalSource
  • Theravance
  • ViaSat
  • ADC Telecommunications
  • Solar Capital

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